CAF Champions League · Mar 13, 2026 18:00

Mamelodi Sundowns FC
PWR 35
3-0
predicted

Stade Malien Bamako
PWR 35
61% 22% 17%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Win
Score
3-0
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (16%)2-0 (11%)1-0 (6%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)0-0 (1%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS No
No 18%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mamelodi Sundo… WWWWL
UP
Stade Malien B… LLDWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANT
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway draws 67% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 100% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.11
Mamelodi Sundo…
vs
0.20
Stade Malien B…
Goal Probability
Mamelodi Su…
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Stade Malie…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (25%)0-0 (21%)2-0 (15%)1-1 (10%)0-1 (8%)3-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 79% 21% OVER
1.5 47% 54% -
2.5 21% 79% UNDER
3.5 8% 93% UNDER
4.5 2% 98% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#2
Mamelodi Su…
-1
Gap
#1
Stade Malie…
WR 67% 9 pts WR 0% 11 pts
Mamelodi Sundo… 16.0%
Mar 10 Mamelod… v Orbit C… 0-2
Mar 04 Mamelod… v Golden … 2-1
Mar 01 Mamelod… v Sekhukh… 3-1
Feb 24 Mamelod… v Amazulu 0-1
Feb 21 Mamelod… v TS Gala… 2-0
Feb 18 Mamelod… v Orlando… 1-2
Feb 14 Mamelod… v MC Alger 2-0
Feb 08 Mamelod… v Saint E… 1-1
Feb 04 Mamelod… v Gomora … 2-1
Jan 30 Mamelod… v Al Hila… 2-1
Stade Malien B… 6.0%
Mar 04 Stade M… v Binga 4-0
Mar 01 Stade M… v Réal Ba… 0-1
Feb 22 Stade M… v Bakarid… 0-0
Feb 19 Stade M… v USFAS B… 0-1
Feb 14 Stade M… v Simba 1-0
Feb 08 Stade M… v ES Tunis 1-0
Jan 31 Stade M… v Petro d… 0-0
Jan 25 Stade M… v Petro d… 2-0
Jan 17 Stade M… v Mali Co… 0-2
Jan 10 Stade M… v Bougouni 0-0
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Mamelodi Sundowns FC in strong form (4W in last 5)
Stade Malien Bamako struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.