Bundesliga · Mar 15, 2026 16:00
Austria Wien
PWR 35
Sturm Graz
PWR 35
Austria Wien
PWR 35
2-3
predicted
Sturm Graz
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Austria Wien Win
Score
2-3
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (12%)3-0 (11%)1-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
No 47%
Over 3.5
26%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Austria Wien
WWLDW
STABLE
Sturm Graz
WDWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateElevated draw risk (22.4%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/0 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.89
Austria Wienvs
0.68
Sturm GrazGoal Probability
Austria Wien
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Sturm Graz
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (8%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Austria Wien-3
Gap#1
Sturm Graz
WR 46% 36 pts
WR 64% 38 pts
Austria Wien
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Austria… v Ried | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Austria… v WSG Wat… | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Austria… v First V… | 0-3 |
| Mar 01 | Austria… v LASK Li… | 2-2 |
| Feb 27 | Austria… v Rapid W… | 1-0 |
| Feb 24 | Austria… v Admira … | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Austria… v SCR Alt… | 2-1 |
| Feb 20 | Austria… v SV Kapf… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Austria… v Rapid W… | 2-0 |
| Feb 06 | Austria… v RB Salz… | 0-2 |
Sturm Graz
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Sturm G… v SCR Alt… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Sturm G… v Wolfsbe… | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | Sturm G… v FC BW L… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Sturm G… v WSG Wat… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Sturm G… v Ried | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Sturm G… v SCR Alt… | 3-1 |
| Jan 29 | Sturm G… v Brann | 1-0 |
| Jan 22 | Sturm G… v Feyenoo… | 3-0 |
| Jan 08 | Sturm G… v Club Br… | 2-2 |
| Dec 14 | Sturm G… v Austria… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 14, 2025 | Austria Wien | 3-1 | Sturm Graz |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Sturm Graz | 0-1 | Austria Wien |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Sturm Graz | 0-1 | Austria Wien |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Austria Wien | 2-1 | Sturm Graz |
| Feb 07, 2025 | Sturm Graz | 2-2 | Austria Wien |
| Feb 01, 2025 | Sturm Graz | 0-2 | Austria Wien |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Austria Wien | 2-2 | Sturm Graz |
| May 19, 2024 | Sturm Graz | 2-0 | Austria Wien |
| Feb 02, 2024 | Sturm Graz | 2-0 | Austria Wien |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Sturm Graz | 0-1 | Austria Wien |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Austria Wien in strong form (3W in last 5)
Sturm Graz in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.