UEFA Europa Conference League · Mar 19, 2026 17:45
AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
Crystal Palace
PWR 33
AEK Larnaca
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Crystal Palace
PWR 33
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (14%)2-0 (13%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
60%
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
35%
Team Comparison
0Attack31
100Defense64
Goals/G
0.01.0
Conc/G
0.01.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
AEK Larnaca
WDLLW
STABLE
Crystal Palace
WLWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Conference League
Expected Goals (xG)
3.14
AEK Larnacavs
0.49
Crystal PalaceGoal Probability
AEK Larnaca
0
4%
1
14%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Crystal Pal…
0
61%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (10%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
AEK Larnaca+2
Gap#10
Crystal Pal…
WR 67% 12 pts
WR 67% 10 pts
AEK Larnaca
10.0%
| Mar 06 | AEK Lar… v Aris | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | AEK Lar… v Olympia… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | AEK Lar… v Omonia … | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | AEK Lar… v Apollon… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | AEK Lar… v Apoel N… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | AEK Lar… v Enosis | 5-0 |
| Jan 25 | AEK Lar… v Pafos FC | 1-2 |
| Jan 18 | AEK Lar… v Digenis… | 2-1 |
| Jan 14 | AEK Lar… v Omonia … | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | AEK Lar… v Aris | 1-0 |
Crystal Palace
14.0%
| Mar 05 | Crystal… v Tottenh… | 1-3 |
| Mar 01 | Crystal… v Manches… | 2-1 |
| Feb 26 | Crystal… v Zrinjski | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Crystal… v Wolverh… | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Crystal… v Zrinjski | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Crystal… v Burnley | 2-3 |
| Feb 08 | Crystal… v Brighto… | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Crystal… v Notting… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Crystal… v Chelsea | 1-3 |
| Jan 17 | Crystal… v Sunderl… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 23, 2025 | Crystal Palace | 0-1 | AEK Larnaca |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Crystal Palace in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.