Back Stats
UEFA Champions League · Mar 11, 2026 17:45

Bayer Leverkusen
PWR 42
1 - 0
FT

Arsenal
PWR 48
57% 23% 20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Bayer Leverkusen Win
Score
?
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)2-0 (6%)1-2 (6%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.67x
DC X2 84%
Away/Draw
1.26x
Over 2.5 68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
Yes 68%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
60Attack58
59Defense79
Goals/G
2.01.9
Conc/G
1.40.7
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Bayer Leverkus… DWDDL
STABLE
Arsenal
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Odds data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (30.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Bayer Leverkus…
vs
1.42
Arsenal
Goal Probability
Bayer Lever…
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Arsenal
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (26%)2-0 (19%)0-0 (18%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 82% 18% OVER
1.5 52% 48% -
2.5 25% 75% UNDER
3.5 10% 90% UNDER
4.5 3% 97% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Bayer Leverkus… 10.0%
Mar 07 Bayer L… v SC Frei… 3-3
Mar 04 Bayer L… v Hamburg… 0-1
Feb 28 Bayer L… v FSV Mai… 1-1
Feb 24 Bayer L… v Olympia… 0-0
Feb 21 Bayer L… v Union B… 1-0
Feb 18 Bayer L… v Olympia… 0-2
Feb 14 Bayer L… v FC St. … 4-0
Feb 07 Bayer L… v Borussi… 1-1
Feb 03 Bayer L… v FC St. … 3-0
Jan 31 Bayer L… v Eintrac… 1-3
Arsenal 50%
No recent data
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.