USL Championship · Mar 14, 2026 21:00
Colorado Rapids
PWR 48
Las Vegas Lights
PWR 34
Colorado Rapids
PWR 48
2-1
predicted
Las Vegas Lights
PWR 34
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Colorado Rapids Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)3-0 (15%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (6%)3-1 (6%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
47Attack35
53Defense42
Goals/G
1.31.0
Conc/G
1.31.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Colorado Rapids
DWWWL
STABLE
Las Vegas Ligh…
DLDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.72
Colorado Rapidsvs
0.39
Las Vegas Ligh…Goal Probability
Colorado Ra…
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Las Vegas L…
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (13%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 2.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Colorado Ra…+13
Gap#18
Las Vegas L…
WR 43% 63 pts
WR 23% 39 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapi… | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 56 | 56 | 63 |
| Las Vegas Lig… | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 39 | 65 | 39 |
Colorado Rapids
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Colorad… v El Paso… | 2-2 |
| Mar 08 | Colorad… v Los Ang… | 4-1 |
| Feb 28 | Colorad… v Sacrame… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Colorad… v Portlan… | 2-0 |
| Feb 23 | Colorad… v Seattle… | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Colorad… v Columbu… | 1-4 |
| Feb 05 | Colorad… v Louisvi… | 0-0 |
| Nov 02 | Colorad… v FC Tulsa | 1-0 |
| Oct 26 | Colorad… v FC Tulsa | 3-0 |
| Oct 19 | Colorad… v Los Ang… | 2-2 |
Las Vegas Ligh…
6.0%
| Mar 08 | Las Veg… v Orange … | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Las Veg… v York 9 … | 1-0 |
| Oct 26 | Las Veg… v Montere… | 1-1 |
| Oct 19 | Las Veg… v Colorad… | 1-0 |
| Oct 12 | Las Veg… v Oakland… | 2-2 |
| Oct 05 | Las Veg… v Rhode I… | 3-1 |
| Sep 28 | Las Veg… v Pittsbu… | 1-0 |
| Sep 20 | Las Veg… v Louisvi… | 3-1 |
| Sep 14 | Las Veg… v Miami FC | 0-0 |
| Sep 06 | Las Veg… v Phoenix… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 19, 2025 | Colorado Rapi… | 1-0 | Las Vegas Lig… |
| May 11, 2025 | Las Vegas Lig… | 0-0 | Colorado Rapi… |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Colorado Rapi… | 1-0 | Las Vegas Lig… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Colorado Rapids in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.