USL Championship · Mar 15, 2026 02:00
Phoenix Rising
PWR 48
Orange County SC
PWR 44
Phoenix Rising
PWR 48
1-1
predicted
Orange County SC
PWR 44
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (5%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 60%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
50Attack49
55Defense51
Goals/G
1.41.4
Conc/G
1.31.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Phoenix Rising
LLWDW
DOWN
Orange County …
DLLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.20
Phoenix Risingvs
0.99
Orange County …Goal Probability
Phoenix Ris…
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Orange Coun…
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Phoenix Ris…+2
Gap#8
Orange Coun…
WR 37% 58 pts
WR 30% 54 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Rising | 41 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 59 | 53 | 58 |
| Orange County… | 43 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 60 | 60 | 54 |
Phoenix Rising
10.0%
| Mar 08 | Phoenix… v San Ant… | 2-1 |
| Nov 09 | Phoenix… v FC UFA | 1-0 |
| Nov 02 | Phoenix… v El Paso… | 0-1 |
| Oct 25 | Phoenix… v Pittsbu… | 0-0 |
| Oct 19 | Phoenix… v San Ant… | 1-0 |
| Oct 10 | Phoenix… v North C… | 0-2 |
| Oct 05 | Phoenix… v New Mex… | 0-1 |
| Sep 28 | Phoenix… v Oakland… | 3-3 |
| Sep 21 | Phoenix… v Loudoun… | 2-2 |
| Sep 14 | Phoenix… v Sacrame… | 2-2 |
Orange County …
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Orange … v Las Veg… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Orange … v Los Ang… | 2-0 |
| Nov 09 | Orange … v New Mex… | 2-1 |
| Nov 03 | Orange … v Sacrame… | 0-0 |
| Oct 26 | Orange … v Indy El… | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Orange … v Louisvi… | 0-0 |
| Oct 16 | Orange … v San Ant… | 1-0 |
| Oct 12 | Orange … v New Mex… | 3-3 |
| Oct 05 | Orange … v El Paso… | 0-0 |
| Oct 02 | Orange … v Sacrame… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jul 31, 2025 | Orange County… | 4-1 | Phoenix Rising |
| Jun 08, 2025 | Phoenix Rising | 3-1 | Orange County… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.