Sul-Matogrossense · Mar 11, 2026 23:30
Tombense
PWR 35
Tombense
PWR 35
1-2
predicted
Dourados Atlético
PWR 35
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Dourados Atlético Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (17%)3-0 (16%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (5%)3-1 (5%)0-0 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS
No
No 25%
Over 3.5
31%
Team Comparison
27Attack0
57Defense100
Goals/G
0.80.0
Conc/G
1.20.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Tombense
DWLDW
STABLE
Dourados Atlét…
DDLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 2/7 draws (29%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (35.5%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.85
Tombensevs
0.31
Dourados Atlét…Goal Probability
Tombense
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Dourados At…
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (11%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (6%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 3.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Tombense-5
Gap#2
Dourados At…
WR 19% 20 pts
WR 40% 58 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tombense | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 26 | 20 |
| Dourados Atlé… | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 58 |
Tombense
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Tombense v Dourado… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Tombense v Costa R… | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Tombense v Uniao T… | 3-1 |
| Feb 25 | Tombense v Oratório | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Tombense v Dourado… | 2-0 |
| Feb 20 | Tombense v Uniao T… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Tombense v Águia N… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Tombense v Athleti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Tombense v Ivinhema | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Tombense v Uniao T… | 3-1 |
Dourados Atlét…
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Dourado… v Tombense | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Dourado… v Cr Aqui… | 3-3 |
| Feb 21 | Dourado… v Tombense | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | Dourado… v Batagua… | 7-2 |
| Feb 11 | Dourado… v Jataien… | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | Dourado… v Operári… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Dourado… v Costa R… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Dourado… v Águia N… | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | Dourado… v Portugu… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Dourado… v Ivinhema | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Mar 08, 2026 | Dourados Atlé… | 1-1 | Tombense |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Tombense | 2-0 | Dourados Atlé… |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Tombense | 0-1 | Dourados Atlé… |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Dourados Atlé… | 2-0 | Tombense |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Tombense | 0-0 | Dourados Atlé… |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Tombense | 0-1 | Dourados Atlé… |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Dourados Atlé… | 3-0 | Tombense |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.