Copa do Brasil · Mar 11, 2026 23:00
Castanhal
PWR 35
Nova Iguaçu
PWR 17
Castanhal
PWR 35
0 - 4
FT
Nova Iguaçu
PWR 17
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Castanhal to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (20%)0-0 (15%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)
WRONG 0-4
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.66x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.53x
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
No
No 33%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
35Attack18
65Defense30
Goals/G
1.00.5
Conc/G
1.02.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Castanhal
DDLWL
STABLE
Nova Iguaçu
WDDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Copa do Brasil
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Castanhalvs
0.58
Nova IguaçuGoal Probability
Castanhal
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Nova Iguaçu
0
56%
1
33%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (21%)0-1 (21%)1-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 2.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#77
Castanhal+14
Gap#91
Nova Iguaçu
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castanhal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Nova Iguaçu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Castanhal
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Castanh… v Águia d… | 0-0 |
| Feb 25 | Castanh… v Guaraní… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Castanh… v Paysand… | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Castanh… v Capitao… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Castanh… v Capitao… | 2-0 |
| Feb 12 | Castanh… v Remo | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | Castanh… v Tuna Lu… | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Castanh… v São Rai… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Castanh… v Santos | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Castanh… v Cametá | 0-0 |
Nova Iguaçu
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Nova Ig… v Sampaio… | 2-0 |
| Mar 04 | Nova Ig… v Lagarto | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Nova Ig… v Maringá | 2-2 |
| Feb 26 | Nova Ig… v Portugu… | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Nova Ig… v Sampaio… | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Nova Ig… v Maringá | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | Nova Ig… v Portugu… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Nova Ig… v Portugu… | 1-0 |
| Jan 30 | Nova Ig… v Bangu | 1-2 |
| Jan 26 | Nova Ig… v Volta R… | 2-2 |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
50%
Market
36%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.