Brasiliense · Mar 15, 2026 19:00
Samambaia FC
PWR 35
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Sobradinho EC
PWR 35
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Samambaia FC Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
No 49%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Samambaia FC
DWWWW
STABLE
Sobradinho EC
DWLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/4 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway draws 40% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 65% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.77
Samambaia FCvs
0.75
Sobradinho ECGoal Probability
Samambaia FC
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Sobradinho …
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (20%)2-0 (16%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Samambaia FC+1
Gap#3
Sobradinho …
WR 75% 20 pts
WR 40% 17 pts
Samambaia FC
18.0%
| Mar 08 | Samamba… v Sobradi… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Samamba… v Paranoá | 0-6 |
| Feb 22 | Samamba… v Sobradi… | 3-0 |
| Feb 12 | Samamba… v ARUC | 0-3 |
| Feb 07 | Samamba… v Brasília | 4-1 |
| Jan 31 | Samamba… v Brasili… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Samamba… v Real FC | 0-1 |
| Jan 21 | Samamba… v Gama | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Samamba… v Uberlân… | 2-1 |
| Jan 11 | Samamba… v Capital… | 2-2 |
Sobradinho EC
10.0%
| Mar 08 | Sobradi… v Samamba… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Sobradi… v Brasília | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Sobradi… v Samamba… | 3-0 |
| Feb 11 | Sobradi… v Real FC | 0-3 |
| Feb 07 | Sobradi… v Gama | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Sobradi… v Capital… | 2-3 |
| Jan 25 | Sobradi… v ARUC | 2-1 |
| Jan 21 | Sobradi… v Brasili… | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | Sobradi… v Paranoá | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | Sobradi… v Uberlân… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Mar 08, 2026 | Sobradinho EC | 0-0 | Samambaia FC |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Samambaia FC | 3-0 | Sobradinho EC |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Samambaia FC | 1-0 | Sobradinho EC |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Samambaia FC | 2-2 | Sobradinho EC |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
62%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Samambaia FC in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.