Back Stats
League · Mar 14, 2026 19:00

Al Buqa'a
PWR 35
2-0
predicted

Sama Al Sarhan
PWR 35
49% 24% 27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Al Buqa'a Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5 63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
Yes 59%
Over 3.5
47%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Al Buqa'a LWLLD
STABLE
Sama Al Sarhan DLDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 32% at home = very high riskH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Al Buqa'a
vs
1.04
Sama Al Sarhan
Goal Probability
Al Buqa'a
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Sama Al Sar…
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (8%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)3-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 97% 3% OVER
1.5 87% 13% OVER
2.5 68% 32% OVER
3.5 47% 53% -
4.5 28% 72% UNDER
5.5 15% 86% UNDER
6.5 7% 93% UNDER
League Position
#7
Al Buqa'a
+3
Gap
#10
Sama Al Sar…
WR 26% 21 pts WR 6% 6 pts
Al Buqa'a 6.0%
Mar 11 Al Buqa… v Al Huss… 5-1
Mar 03 Al Buqa… v Al Wihd… 3-1
Feb 26 Al Buqa… v Al Huss… 5-2
Feb 20 Al Buqa… v Al Fais… 1-3
Feb 14 Al Buqa… v Shabab … 1-1
Feb 08 Al Buqa… v Al Ramt… 2-2
Feb 04 Al Buqa… v Al Fais… 1-3
Jan 30 Al Buqa… v Al Jaze… 2-2
Jan 25 Al Buqa… v Al Ahli 0-0
Jan 20 Al Buqa… v Al Wihd… 4-2
Sama Al Sarhan 4.0%
Mar 06 Sama Al… v Al Fais… 0-0
Feb 25 Sama Al… v Al Fais… 4-0
Feb 20 Sama Al… v Shabab … 0-0
Feb 13 Sama Al… v Al Ramt… 1-3
Feb 08 Sama Al… v Al Fais… 2-1
Feb 03 Sama Al… v Al Jaze… 0-1
Jan 30 Sama Al… v Al Ahli 0-4
Jan 25 Sama Al… v Al Wihd… 2-0
Dec 27 Sama Al… v Al Ahli 2-1
Dec 13 Sama Al… v Al Fais… 1-0
Head-to-Head (3)
Nov 28, 2025 Al Buqa'a 3-0 Sama Al Sarhan
Oct 31, 2025 Sama Al Sarhan 1-1 Al Buqa'a
Jul 31, 2025 Al Buqa'a 2-0 Sama Al Sarhan
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
61%
Market
50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Al Buqa'a struggling (3L in last 5)
Sama Al Sarhan struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.