Premier League · Mar 11, 2026 12:00
Al Karama
PWR 35
Al Karama
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT
Khan Shaykhun Sc
PWR 35
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Al Karama to win (58% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (33%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (18%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (5%)0-2 (5%)
WRONG 3-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
10%
Under 2.5
90%
90%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
24%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Al Karama
DWDDD
STABLE
Khan Shaykhun …
LLLWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 40% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56
Al Karamavs
0.54
Khan Shaykhun …Goal Probability
Al Karama
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Khan Shaykh…
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (15%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Al Karama+1
Gap#13
Khan Shaykh…
WR 20% 11 pts
WR 14% 10 pts
Al Karama
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Al Kara… v Shorta | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Al Kara… v Foutoua | 1-0 |
| Feb 24 | Al Kara… v Tishreen | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Al Kara… v Jaish | 0-0 |
| Feb 13 | Al Kara… v Al Tali… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Al Kara… v Hottin | 0-1 |
| Feb 03 | Al Kara… v Damascu… | 1-2 |
| Jan 30 | Al Kara… v Al Itti… | 1-0 |
| Dec 19 | Al Kara… v Al Wahd… | 0-2 |
| Aug 12 | Al Kara… v Bashund… | 0-1 |
Khan Shaykhun …
4.0%
| Mar 05 | Khan Sh… v Hottin | 0-1 |
| Feb 27 | Khan Sh… v Jaish | 3-1 |
| Feb 24 | Khan Sh… v Horriya | 1-2 |
| Feb 20 | Khan Sh… v Jabala | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | Khan Sh… v Al Wahd… | 6-2 |
| Jan 30 | Khan Sh… v Shorta | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Khan Sh… v Al Shou… | 1-0 |
| Jan 09 | Khan Sh… v Al Tali… | 1-0 |
| Jan 01 | Khan Sh… v Tishreen | 3-0 |
| Dec 25 | Khan Sh… v Damascu… | 2-1 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Khan Shaykhun Sc struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.