Virsliga · Mar 14, 2026 14:00
Riga FC
PWR 35
BFC Daugavpils
PWR 35
Riga FC
PWR 35
VS
BFC Daugavpils
PWR 35
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Riga FC Win
Score
?
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (10%)2-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (4%)1-0 (3%)1-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
60%
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
No 46%
Over 3.5
56%
56%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Riga FC
LWWWD
STABLE
BFC Daugavpils
LLLLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.34
Riga FCvs
0.62
BFC DaugavpilsGoal Probability
Riga FC
0
1%
1
6%
2
12%
3
18%
4
19%
BFC Daugavp…
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (10%)4-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)4-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 57% | 44% | - |
| 4.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 5.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Riga FC+1
Gap#9
BFC Daugavp…
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Riga FC
14.0%
| Mar 07 | Riga FC v FK Liep… | 2-1 |
| Feb 24 | Riga FC v FC Tall… | 0-3 |
| Feb 17 | Riga FC v Auda | 4-1 |
| Feb 05 | Riga FC v Shakhta… | 0-1 |
| Jan 27 | Riga FC v Pyunik … | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Riga FC v Žilina | 3-2 |
| Nov 07 | Riga FC v RÄ«gas FS | 3-4 |
| Nov 02 | Riga FC v Grobiņa | 1-1 |
| Oct 29 | Riga FC v Auda | 1-2 |
| Oct 24 | Riga FC v Tukums | 0-0 |
BFC Daugavpils
4.0%
| Mar 07 | BFC Dau… v Grobiņa | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | BFC Dau… v Rīgas FS | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | BFC Dau… v Sūduva … | 5-3 |
| Feb 07 | BFC Dau… v Šiauliai | 1-0 |
| Feb 03 | BFC Dau… v Hegelma… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | BFC Dau… v FC Tall… | 4-0 |
| Nov 09 | BFC Dau… v Metta /… | 3-1 |
| Nov 02 | BFC Dau… v FK Liep… | 1-2 |
| Oct 25 | BFC Dau… v Super N… | 2-2 |
| Oct 18 | BFC Dau… v FS Jelg… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Sep 29, 2025 | BFC Daugavpils | 0-1 | Riga FC |
| Jul 06, 2025 | Riga FC | 1-1 | BFC Daugavpils |
| May 14, 2025 | BFC Daugavpils | 0-1 | Riga FC |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Riga FC | 1-2 | BFC Daugavpils |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Riga FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
BFC Daugavpils struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.