Esiliiga A · Mar 19, 2026 16:00
Flora II
PWR 35
Nõmme Kalju II
PWR 35
Flora II
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Nõmme Kalju II
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Flora II to win (58% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (10%)3-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes 56%
Over 3.5
70%
70%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Flora II
LWDLL
STABLE
Nõmme Kalju II
LLLWW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.86
Flora IIvs
0.90
Nõmme Kalju IIGoal Probability
Flora II
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Nõmme Kalju…
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)1-1 (5%)1-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 5.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Flora II+1
Gap#8
Nõmme Kalju…
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Flora II
6.0%
| Mar 06 | Flora II v Viimsi | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Flora II v Johvi P… | 3-1 |
| Nov 09 | Flora II v Tartu W… | 1-1 |
| Nov 06 | Flora II v Nõmme U… | 1-5 |
| Nov 02 | Flora II v Elva | 2-0 |
| Oct 27 | Flora II v FC Tall… | 2-4 |
| Oct 23 | Flora II v Tallinn… | 1-4 |
| Oct 16 | Flora II v Viimsi | 2-0 |
| Oct 12 | Flora II v FC Leva… | 4-0 |
| Sep 25 | Flora II v Luunja | 0-1 |
Nõmme Kalju II
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Nõmme K… v FCI Lev… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Nõmme K… v FCI Lev… | 4-1 |
| Nov 09 | Nõmme K… v Viimsi | 4-0 |
| Nov 01 | Nõmme K… v Tallinn… | 4-1 |
| Oct 26 | Nõmme K… v Luunja | 4-1 |
| Oct 23 | Nõmme K… v Tartu W… | 5-2 |
| Oct 20 | Nõmme K… v FCI Lev… | 0-0 |
| Oct 04 | Nõmme K… v Elva | 0-1 |
| Sep 27 | Nõmme K… v FC Tall… | 2-1 |
| Sep 22 | Nõmme K… v Nõmme U… | 0-4 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Sep 18, 2025 | Nõmme Kalju II | 3-0 | Flora II |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Flora II | 1-2 | Nõmme Kalju II |
| May 19, 2025 | Flora II | 3-0 | Nõmme Kalju II |
| Apr 06, 2025 | Nõmme Kalju II | 2-1 | Flora II |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Flora II struggling (3L in last 5)
Nõmme Kalju II struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.