Second League · Mar 14, 2026 13:30

Vardar Negotino
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
FK Prespa Resen
PWR 35
39% 26% 35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Vardar Negotino Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
37%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS
Yes 50%
Over 3.5
52%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Vardar Negotino LLLLL
DOWN
FK Prespa Resen LWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateElevated draw risk (21.7%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Vardar Negotino
vs
1.18
FK Prespa Resen
Goal Probability
Vardar Nego…
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
FK Prespa R…
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-3 (7%)0-2 (7%)2-2 (6%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 98% 2% OVER
1.5 89% 11% OVER
2.5 73% 27% OVER
3.5 52% 48% -
4.5 33% 67% UNDER
5.5 18% 82% UNDER
6.5 9% 91% UNDER
League Position
#14
Vardar Nego…
-1
Gap
#13
FK Prespa R…
WR 22% 12 pts WR 11% 12 pts
Vardar Negotino 0.0%
Mar 07 Vardar … v Sasa 1-0
Mar 03 Vardar … v Novaci 1-2
Feb 28 Vardar … v Bregaln… 7-1
Feb 21 Vardar … v Teteks 2-0
Jan 24 Vardar … v Pobeda … 3-0
Dec 06 Vardar … v Kozuv G… 2-2
Nov 25 Vardar … v Pobeda 0-0
Nov 21 Vardar … v Osogovo 5-1
Nov 08 Vardar … v Shkëndi… 1-2
Nov 04 Vardar … v Belasica 8-1
FK Prespa Resen 4.0%
Mar 07 FK Pres… v Kozuv G… 1-3
Mar 03 FK Pres… v Pobeda 1-5
Feb 28 FK Pres… v Osogovo 0-1
Feb 21 FK Pres… v Shkëndi… 4-1
Nov 30 FK Pres… v Belasica 3-1
Nov 25 FK Pres… v Sloga V… 1-2
Nov 21 FK Pres… v Detonit… 1-1
Nov 08 FK Pres… v Golemo … 4-2
Nov 04 FK Pres… v Skopje 2-0
Nov 01 FK Pres… v Ohrid 0-2
Head-to-Head (1)
Sep 20, 2025 FK Prespa Res… 1-2 Vardar Negoti…
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Vardar Negotino struggling (5L in last 5)
FK Prespa Resen struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.