Cup · Mar 17, 2026 17:45
Krasnodar
PWR 48
Spartak Moscow
PWR 61
Krasnodar
PWR 48
2-2
predicted
Spartak Moscow
PWR 61
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Krasnodar Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (6%)3-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)3-2 (4%)2-0 (3%)2-2 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 68%
Over 3.5
86%
86%
Team Comparison
60Attack56
46Defense70
Goals/G
1.71.6
Conc/G
1.50.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Krasnodar
LLWWD
DOWN
Spartak Moscow
WDLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Consider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Krasnodarvs
1.17
Spartak MoscowGoal Probability
Krasnodar
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Spartak Mos…
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
3-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)3-1 (5%)4-1 (5%)5-2 (4%)2-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 6.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
League Position
#5
Krasnodar-4
Gap#1
Spartak Mos…
WR 36% 29 pts
WR 56% 115 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krasnodar | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 34 | 29 |
| Spartak Moscow | 61 | 34 | 13 | 14 | 98 | 53 | 115 |
Krasnodar
10.0%
| Mar 08 | Krasnod… v Rubin | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Krasnod… v Spartak… | 3-1 |
| Feb 28 | Krasnod… v FC Rost… | 2-1 |
| Feb 06 | Krasnod… v Zenit S… | 3-0 |
| Feb 03 | Krasnod… v Spartak… | 2-2 |
| Jan 27 | Krasnod… v Yelimay… | 2-1 |
| Dec 07 | Krasnod… v CSKA Mo… | 3-2 |
| Nov 30 | Krasnod… v Krylya … | 5-0 |
| Nov 26 | Krasnod… v Orenburg | 4-0 |
| Nov 23 | Krasnod… v Lokomot… | 1-1 |
Spartak Moscow
14.0%
| Mar 09 | Spartak… v Akron | 4-3 |
| Mar 07 | Spartak… v Chelyab… | 3-3 |
| Mar 05 | Spartak… v Dinamo … | 5-2 |
| Mar 04 | Spartak… v Krasnod… | 3-1 |
| Mar 02 | Spartak… v PFC Soc… | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Spartak… v Rotor V… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Spartak… v FC Rost… | 5-2 |
| Feb 18 | Spartak… v FC Porto | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Spartak… v Dalian … | 1-0 |
| Feb 06 | Spartak… v Dinamo … | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 04, 2026 | Spartak Moscow | 3-1 | Krasnodar |
| Feb 03, 2026 | Spartak Moscow | 2-2 | Krasnodar |
| Nov 02, 2025 | Krasnodar | 2-1 | Spartak Moscow |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Krasnodar | 0-1 | Spartak Moscow |
| May 10, 2025 | Spartak Moscow | 1-0 | Krasnodar |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Spartak Moscow | 3-2 | Krasnodar |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Krasnodar | 0-3 | Spartak Moscow |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Spartak Moscow | 0-3 | Krasnodar |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Spartak Moscow | 2-0 | Krasnodar |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Krasnodar | 2-1 | Spartak Moscow |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Spartak Moscow in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.