First League · Mar 16, 2026 11:30
Sardarapat
PWR 35
4-2
predicted
BKMA II
PWR 35
35% 27% 38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sardarapat Win
Score
4-2
Confidence
37%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (11%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5 62%
62%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sardarapat WWLWD
STABLE
BKMA II WWWWW
UP
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateElevated draw risk (22.2%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Sardarapat
vs
0.82
BKMA II
Goal Probability
Sardarapat
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
BKMA II
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (7%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 95% 5% OVER
1.5 80% 21% OVER
2.5 57% 43% -
3.5 34% 66% UNDER
4.5 18% 82% UNDER
5.5 8% 92% UNDER
6.5 3% 97% UNDER
League Position
#1
Sardarapat
+1
Gap
#2
BKMA II
WR 78% 49 pts WR 78% 47 pts
Sardarapat 14.0%
Mar 09 Sardara… v Noah II 0-4
Mar 02 Sardara… v Shirak … 5-0
Nov 25 Sardara… v Banants… 2-1
Nov 20 Sardara… v Van II 2-0
Nov 10 Sardara… v Bentoni… 1-1
Nov 05 Sardara… v Syunik 1-3
Oct 30 Sardara… v Ararat 0-3
Oct 22 Sardara… v Andranik 1-0
Oct 15 Sardara… v Ararat-… 0-1
Oct 11 Sardara… v Hayq 3-0
BKMA II 20.0%
Mar 09 BKMA II v Pyunik … 3-1
Mar 03 BKMA II v Lernayi… 1-2
Nov 26 BKMA II v Mika 4-0
Nov 19 BKMA II v Noah II 3-0
Nov 15 BKMA II v Ararat-… 1-0
Nov 10 BKMA II v Shirak … 8-0
Nov 04 BKMA II v Banants… 0-1
Oct 28 BKMA II v Ararat … 2-4
Oct 22 BKMA II v Van II 10-4
Oct 15 BKMA II v Bentoni… 1-3
Head-to-Head (1)
Aug 30, 2025 BKMA II 1-4 Sardarapat
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sardarapat in strong form (3W in last 5)
BKMA II in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.