Premier League · Mar 18, 2026 15:00
Kara-Balta
PWR 35
Ilbirs
PWR 35
Kara-Balta
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Ilbirs
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (21%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
20%
Under 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
No
No 29%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kara-Balta
DLDWL
STABLE
Ilbirs
WLDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Kara-Baltavs
0.69
IlbirsGoal Probability
Kara-Balta
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Ilbirs
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (15%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)1-0 (13%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Kara-Balta-1
Gap#10
Ilbirs
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Kara-Balta
8.0%
| Mar 13 | Kara-Ba… v Alay | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | Kara-Ba… v Ozgon | 1-2 |
| Mar 02 | Kara-Ba… v OshMU A… | 0-0 |
| Nov 07 | Kara-Ba… v Asiagoal | 1-0 |
| Nov 03 | Kara-Ba… v Ozgon | 0-4 |
| Oct 24 | Kara-Ba… v Ilbirs | 1-1 |
| Oct 18 | Kara-Ba… v Alay | 2-0 |
| Oct 10 | Kara-Ba… v Bishkek… | 1-1 |
| Oct 04 | Kara-Ba… v Aris | 2-0 |
| Sep 27 | Kara-Ba… v Muras U… | 3-0 |
Ilbirs
12.0%
| Mar 13 | Ilbirs v Neftchi | 2-1 |
| Mar 06 | Ilbirs v Toktogul | 3-2 |
| Mar 01 | Ilbirs v Alay | 1-1 |
| Nov 08 | Ilbirs v Abdish-… | 2-2 |
| Nov 03 | Ilbirs v Asiagoal | 1-0 |
| Oct 24 | Ilbirs v Kara-Ba… | 1-1 |
| Oct 18 | Ilbirs v Bishkek… | 0-1 |
| Oct 12 | Ilbirs v Talant | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Ilbirs v Ozgon | 1-3 |
| Sep 28 | Ilbirs v Aris | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 24, 2025 | Kara-Balta | 1-1 | Ilbirs |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Ilbirs | 0-2 | Kara-Balta |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.