South Australia NPL · Mar 13, 2026 10:00
Adelaide United
PWR 57
Adelaide Comets
PWR 35
Adelaide United
PWR 57
1-0
predicted
Adelaide Comets
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Adelaide United to win (81% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
81%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.67x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.68x
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
57%
57%
Team Comparison
59Attack0
65Defense100
Goals/G
1.70.0
Conc/G
1.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Adelaide United
WLDWD
STABLE
Adelaide Comets
LWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Adelaide Unitedvs
0.84
Adelaide CometsGoal Probability
Adelaide Un…
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Adelaide Co…
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)2-0 (6%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 4.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 5.5 | 22% | 79% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Adelaide Un…-4
Gap#1
Adelaide Co…
WR 46% 35 pts
WR 44% 48 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Unit… | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 22 | 35 |
| Adelaide Come… | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 61 | 45 | 48 |
Adelaide United
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Adelaid… v Croydon… | 0-4 |
| Mar 07 | Adelaid… v Stirlin… | 4-3 |
| Mar 06 | Adelaid… v Welling… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Adelaid… v Adelaid… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Adelaid… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Adelaid… v Perth G… | 4-0 |
| Feb 14 | Adelaid… v Sydney | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Adelaid… v Newcast… | 2-3 |
| Jan 30 | Adelaid… v Macarth… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Adelaid… v Brisban… | 2-3 |
Adelaide Comets
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Adelaid… v Campbel… | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Adelaid… v Cumberl… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Adelaid… v South A… | 4-0 |
| Mar 07 | Adelaid… v Salisbu… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Adelaid… v Adelaid… | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Adelaid… v West To… | 0-3 |
| Feb 28 | Adelaid… v Modbury… | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Adelaid… v Cumberl… | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Adelaid… v Adelaid… | 2-1 |
| Aug 16 | Adelaid… v The Cove | 2-0 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
50%
Market
42%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Adelaide Comets in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.