First League · Mar 14, 2026 15:00

Fakel Voronezh
PWR 35

Chernomorets
PWR 35

Fakel Voronezh
PWR 35
3-1
predicted

Chernomorets
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Fakel Voronezh Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
63%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (4%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
No 43%
Over 3.5
35%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Fakel Voronezh
WLLWD
STABLE
Chernomorets
WLLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (23.7%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got GOLD/3 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.11
Fakel Voronezhvs
0.57
ChernomoretsGoal Probability
Fakel Voron…
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Chernomorets
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (13%)1-0 (11%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 3.5 | 36% | 65% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Fakel Voron…+12
Gap#13
Chernomorets
WR 91% 51 pts
WR 9% 27 pts
Fakel Voronezh
10.0%
| Feb 27 | Fakel V… v Ural | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Fakel V… v Sogdiana | 0-1 |
| Feb 12 | Fakel V… v Baltika | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Fakel V… v Zhetysu | 5-1 |
| Feb 05 | Fakel V… v PFC Soc… | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Fakel V… v Sloga D… | 1-0 |
| Jan 27 | Fakel V… v Qizilqum | 3-3 |
| Nov 30 | Fakel V… v Chelyab… | 2-0 |
| Nov 23 | Fakel V… v FC UFA | 0-4 |
| Nov 16 | Fakel V… v FK Soko… | 0-1 |
Chernomorets
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Chernom… v SKA Kha… | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Chernom… v Torpedo… | 0-2 |
| Feb 04 | Chernom… v Urozhay | 1-4 |
| Nov 28 | Chernom… v Shinnik… | 2-1 |
| Nov 22 | Chernom… v Arsenal… | 1-1 |
| Nov 15 | Chernom… v Volga U… | 2-1 |
| Nov 09 | Chernom… v Enisey | 1-0 |
| Nov 02 | Chernom… v Spartak… | 3-1 |
| Oct 25 | Chernom… v Chelyab… | 0-0 |
| Oct 20 | Chernom… v FK Neft… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 17, 2025 | Chernomorets | 0-1 | Fakel Voronezh |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
88%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.