First League · Mar 14, 2026 15:00

Fakel Voronezh
PWR 35
3-1
predicted

Chernomorets
PWR 35
45% 25% 30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Fakel Voronezh Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
63%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (4%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5 61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
No 43%
Over 3.5
35%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Fakel Voronezh WLLWD
STABLE
Chernomorets WLLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (23.7%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got GOLD/3 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.11
Fakel Voronezh
vs
0.57
Chernomorets
Goal Probability
Fakel Voron…
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Chernomorets
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (13%)1-0 (11%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 95% 5% OVER
1.5 80% 20% OVER
2.5 58% 42% -
3.5 36% 65% -
4.5 19% 81% UNDER
5.5 9% 92% UNDER
6.5 3% 97% UNDER
League Position
#1
Fakel Voron…
+12
Gap
#13
Chernomorets
WR 91% 51 pts WR 9% 27 pts
Fakel Voronezh 10.0%
Feb 27 Fakel V… v Ural 1-0
Feb 19 Fakel V… v Sogdiana 0-1
Feb 12 Fakel V… v Baltika 1-0
Feb 12 Fakel V… v Zhetysu 5-1
Feb 05 Fakel V… v PFC Soc… 2-2
Jan 31 Fakel V… v Sloga D… 1-0
Jan 27 Fakel V… v Qizilqum 3-3
Nov 30 Fakel V… v Chelyab… 2-0
Nov 23 Fakel V… v FC UFA 0-4
Nov 16 Fakel V… v FK Soko… 0-1
Chernomorets 10.0%
Mar 07 Chernom… v SKA Kha… 3-0
Mar 01 Chernom… v Torpedo… 0-2
Feb 04 Chernom… v Urozhay 1-4
Nov 28 Chernom… v Shinnik… 2-1
Nov 22 Chernom… v Arsenal… 1-1
Nov 15 Chernom… v Volga U… 2-1
Nov 09 Chernom… v Enisey 1-0
Nov 02 Chernom… v Spartak… 3-1
Oct 25 Chernom… v Chelyab… 0-0
Oct 20 Chernom… v FK Neft… 1-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Aug 17, 2025 Chernomorets 0-1 Fakel Voronezh
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
88%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.