Liga Nacional · Mar 11, 2026 23:15
CD Motagua
PWR 35
Lobos Upnfm
PWR 35
CD Motagua
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Lobos Upnfm
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
CD Motagua Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)0-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
81%
Home/Draw
1.3x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.31x
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
0Attack37
100Defense42
Goals/G
0.01.1
Conc/G
0.01.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
CD Motagua
WDWWD
STABLE
Lobos Upnfm
WWWLD
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy73%
FORM_MOMENTUMHOME_STREAKPOINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
CD Motaguavs
0.83
Lobos UpnfmGoal Probability
CD Motagua
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Lobos Upnfm
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
CD Motagua+5
Gap#8
Lobos Upnfm
WR 48% 153 pts
WR 24% 88 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Motagua | 87 | 42 | 27 | 18 | 164 | 109 | 153 |
| Lobos Upnfm | 89 | 21 | 25 | 43 | 95 | 148 | 88 |
CD Motagua
16.0%
| Mar 08 | CD Mota… v Atlétic… | 1-3 |
| Mar 01 | CD Mota… v Olancho | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | CD Mota… v Jutical… | 1-2 |
| Feb 23 | CD Mota… v CD Olim… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | CD Mota… v CD Mara… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | CD Mota… v Génesis | 0-5 |
| Feb 08 | CD Mota… v Victoria | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | CD Mota… v Real Es… | 2-2 |
| Jan 30 | CD Mota… v Platens… | 2-0 |
| Dec 24 | CD Mota… v Real Es… | 1-1 |
Lobos Upnfm
14.0%
| Mar 09 | Lobos U… v Jutical… | 3-2 |
| Mar 02 | Lobos U… v Génesis | 0-2 |
| Feb 26 | Lobos U… v Platens… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Lobos U… v Real Es… | 4-3 |
| Feb 12 | Lobos U… v Victoria | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | Lobos U… v CD Olim… | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | Lobos U… v Olancho | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | Lobos U… v Atlétic… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Lobos U… v CD Mara… | 1-1 |
| Dec 07 | Lobos U… v Real Es… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 28, 2025 | Lobos Upnfm | 0-0 | CD Motagua |
| Sep 14, 2025 | CD Motagua | 3-3 | Lobos Upnfm |
| Apr 08, 2025 | Lobos Upnfm | 2-1 | CD Motagua |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Lobos Upnfm | 0-2 | CD Motagua |
| Jul 27, 2024 | CD Motagua | 4-2 | Lobos Upnfm |
| Apr 14, 2024 | CD Motagua | 4-0 | Lobos Upnfm |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Lobos Upnfm | 0-2 | CD Motagua |
| Nov 09, 2023 | Lobos Upnfm | 1-4 | CD Motagua |
| Jul 30, 2023 | CD Motagua | 1-1 | Lobos Upnfm |
| Mar 02, 2023 | CD Motagua | 4-3 | Lobos Upnfm |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
72%
Standings
50%
Market
59%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
CD Motagua in strong form (3W in last 5)
Lobos Upnfm in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.