Liga Nacional · Mar 19, 2026 23:15
Lobos Upnfm
PWR 35
Lobos Upnfm
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Atlético Choloma
PWR 22
PWR 22
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Lobos Upnfm Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (23%)2-0 (20%)0-0 (13%)3-0 (11%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
68%
BTTS
No
No 21%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
37Attack33
42Defense18
Goals/G
1.10.9
Conc/G
1.72.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lobos Upnfm
LWWWL
STABLE
Atlético Cholo…
DLLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Lobos Upnfmvs
0.30
Atlético Cholo…Goal Probability
Lobos Upnfm
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Atlético Ch…
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Lobos Upnfm+3
Gap#11
Atlético Ch…
WR 23% 88 pts
WR 13% 18 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lobos Upnfm | 90 | 21 | 25 | 44 | 95 | 150 | 88 |
| Atlético Chol… | 30 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 70 | 18 |
Lobos Upnfm
12.0%
| Mar 11 | Lobos U… v CD Mota… | 2-0 |
| Mar 09 | Lobos U… v Jutical… | 3-2 |
| Mar 02 | Lobos U… v Génesis | 0-2 |
| Feb 26 | Lobos U… v Platens… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Lobos U… v Real Es… | 4-3 |
| Feb 12 | Lobos U… v Victoria | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | Lobos U… v CD Olim… | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | Lobos U… v Olancho | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | Lobos U… v Atlétic… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Lobos U… v CD Mara… | 1-1 |
Atlético Cholo…
6.0%
| Mar 11 | Atlétic… v CD Mara… | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Atlétic… v CD Mota… | 1-3 |
| Feb 26 | Atlétic… v CD Olim… | 3-0 |
| Feb 22 | Atlétic… v Victoria | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Atlétic… v Real Es… | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | Atlétic… v Olancho | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Atlétic… v Platens… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Atlétic… v Génesis | 0-0 |
| Jan 29 | Atlétic… v Lobos U… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Atlétic… v Jutical… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jan 29, 2026 | Atlético Chol… | 1-1 | Lobos Upnfm |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Atlético Chol… | 5-1 | Lobos Upnfm |
| Aug 04, 2025 | Lobos Upnfm | 2-2 | Atlético Chol… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Lobos Upnfm in strong form (3W in last 5)
Atlético Choloma struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.