J1 League · Mar 14, 2026 05:00

Kashiwa Reysol
PWR 35
1-4
predicted

Machida Zelvia
PWR 35
29% 28% 43%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Machida Zelvia Win
Score
1-4
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)0-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.41x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.95x
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS
Yes 50%
Over 3.5
47%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kashiwa Reysol LWLLL
STABLE
Machida Zelvia WDWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.4%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Kashiwa Reysol
vs
1.19
Machida Zelvia
Goal Probability
Kashiwa Rey…
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Machida Zel…
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (9%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-3 (6%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 97% 3% OVER
1.5 87% 13% OVER
2.5 68% 32% OVER
3.5 47% 53% -
4.5 28% 72% UNDER
5.5 15% 86% UNDER
6.5 7% 93% UNDER
League Position
#10
Kashiwa Rey…
-9
Gap
#1
Machida Zel…
WR 0% 0 pts WR 50% 9 pts
Kashiwa Reysol 4.0%
Mar 07 Kashiwa… v JEF Uni… 2-1
Feb 28 Kashiwa… v FC Tokyo 0-2
Feb 21 Kashiwa… v Kashima 2-0
Feb 15 Kashiwa… v Tokyo V… 1-2
Feb 08 Kashiwa… v Kawasak… 5-3
Jan 31 Kashiwa… v JEF Uni… 2-1
Dec 06 Kashiwa… v Machida… 1-0
Nov 30 Kashiwa… v Albirex… 1-3
Nov 08 Kashiwa… v Nagoya … 1-0
Nov 01 Kashiwa… v Sanfrec… 1-3
Machida Zelvia 16.0%
Mar 10 Machida… v Gangwon… 1-0
Mar 03 Machida… v Gangwon… 0-0
Feb 27 Machida… v JEF Uni… 2-1
Feb 21 Machida… v Tokyo V… 2-2
Feb 17 Machida… v Chengdu… 3-2
Feb 14 Machida… v Mito Ho… 2-2
Feb 10 Machida… v Shangha… 0-2
Feb 06 Machida… v Yokoham… 2-3
Dec 09 Machida… v Ulsan H… 3-1
Dec 06 Machida… v Kashiwa… 1-0
Head-to-Head (4)
Dec 06, 2025 Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Machida Zelvia
May 17, 2025 Machida Zelvia 3-0 Kashiwa Reysol
Oct 19, 2024 Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Machida Zelvia
May 03, 2024 Machida Zelvia 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
32%
Market
51%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Machida Zelvia in strong form (3W in last 5)
Kashiwa Reysol struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.