Premier League · Mar 13, 2026 16:30
Makhachkala
PWR 35
Orenburg
PWR 35
Makhachkala
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Orenburg
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Makhachkala Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (22%)1-0 (19%)3-0 (17%)0-0 (8%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.42x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.87x
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Makhachkala
LWWDW
STABLE
Orenburg
WLWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 30% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (26.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Makhachkalavs
0.20
OrenburgGoal Probability
Makhachkala
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Orenburg
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (24%)0-0 (23%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (10%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 2.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Makhachkala-1
Gap#13
Orenburg
WR 40% 18 pts
WR 11% 18 pts
Makhachkala
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Makhach… v Krylya … | 2-0 |
| Mar 04 | Makhach… v FC Rost… | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Makhach… v Rubin | 2-1 |
| Feb 05 | Makhach… v Atyrau | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | Makhach… v Vardar … | 3-0 |
| Dec 07 | Makhach… v Nizhny … | 0-1 |
| Dec 01 | Makhach… v PFC Soc… | 0-0 |
| Nov 26 | Makhach… v Spartak… | 2-1 |
| Nov 23 | Makhach… v Dinamo … | 3-0 |
| Nov 08 | Makhach… v CSKA Mo… | 0-1 |
Orenburg
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Orenburg v Zenit S… | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Orenburg v Krylya … | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Orenburg v Akron | 2-0 |
| Feb 20 | Orenburg v Rubin | 1-0 |
| Dec 05 | Orenburg v Akhmat … | 1-0 |
| Nov 29 | Orenburg v CSKA Mo… | 2-0 |
| Nov 26 | Orenburg v Krasnod… | 4-0 |
| Nov 22 | Orenburg v Baltika | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Orenburg v Lokomot… | 1-0 |
| Nov 05 | Orenburg v Krasnod… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jul 27, 2025 | Orenburg | 1-1 | Makhachkala |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Orenburg | 2-1 | Makhachkala |
| Nov 09, 2024 | Makhachkala | 2-1 | Orenburg |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
48%
Market
49%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Makhachkala in strong form (3W in last 5)
Orenburg in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.