Premier League · Mar 14, 2026 17:30
Baltika
PWR 35
CSKA Moscow
PWR 57
Baltika
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
CSKA Moscow
PWR 57
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Baltika to win (83% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
83%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (21%)2-0 (20%)3-0 (12%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (6%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
65%
BTTS
No
No 22%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
0Attack54
100Defense62
Goals/G
0.01.6
Conc/G
0.01.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Baltika
DLLWD
STABLE
CSKA Moscow
LLLWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 44% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 69% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Baltikavs
0.30
CSKA MoscowGoal Probability
Baltika
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
CSKA Moscow
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 61% | 40% | - |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Baltika+1
Gap#5
CSKA Moscow
WR 56% 36 pts
WR 30% 36 pts
Baltika
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Baltika v FC Rost… | 1-1 |
| Mar 03 | Baltika v Zenit S… | 0-1 |
| Feb 27 | Baltika v Zenit S… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Baltika v Krylya … | 0-1 |
| Feb 18 | Baltika v Akhmat … | 2-2 |
| Feb 18 | Baltika v Kaisar | 2-1 |
| Feb 12 | Baltika v Fakel V… | 1-0 |
| Feb 05 | Baltika v Ordabasy | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Baltika v Chelyab… | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Baltika v BanÃk L… | 3-1 |
CSKA Moscow
4.0%
| Mar 08 | CSKA Mo… v Dinamo … | 1-4 |
| Mar 01 | CSKA Mo… v Akhmat … | 1-0 |
| Dec 07 | CSKA Mo… v Krasnod… | 3-2 |
| Nov 29 | CSKA Mo… v Orenburg | 2-0 |
| Nov 22 | CSKA Mo… v Spartak… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | CSKA Mo… v Makhach… | 0-1 |
| Oct 31 | CSKA Mo… v Nizhny … | 2-0 |
| Oct 25 | CSKA Mo… v Krylya … | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | CSKA Mo… v Lokomot… | 3-0 |
| Oct 05 | CSKA Mo… v Spartak… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 28, 2025 | CSKA Moscow | 1-0 | Baltika |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
59%
Market
50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
CSKA Moscow struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.