A Lyga · Mar 14, 2026 12:15
Sūduva Marijampolė
PWR 35
Hegelmann Litauen
PWR 35
Sūduva Marijampolė
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Hegelmann Litauen
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sūduva Marijampolė Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)1-0 (14%)3-0 (12%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)3-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.46x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.86x
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sūduva Marijam…
LWDDW
STABLE
Hegelmann Lita…
DDDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Sūduva Marijam…vs
0.51
Hegelmann Lita…Goal Probability
Sūduva Mari…
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Hegelmann L…
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (19%)0-0 (14%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Sūduva Mari…+1
Gap#7
Hegelmann L…
WR 50% 5 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Sūduva Marijam…
12.0%
| Mar 10 | Sūduva … v FK Zalg… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Sūduva … v TransIN… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Sūduva … v Šiauliai | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Sūduva … v Panevėž… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Sūduva … v BFC Dau… | 5-3 |
| Nov 08 | Sūduva … v Hegelma… | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Sūduva … v Šiauliai | 2-2 |
| Oct 27 | Sūduva … v Kauno Ž… | 1-0 |
| Oct 23 | Sūduva … v Dainava | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Sūduva … v Džiugas… | 0-0 |
Hegelmann Lita…
6.0%
| Mar 11 | Hegelma… v Šiauliai | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Hegelma… v Panevėž… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Hegelma… v Džiugas… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Hegelma… v Banga | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Hegelma… v FK Zalg… | 1-0 |
| Feb 03 | Hegelma… v BFC Dau… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Hegelma… v Džiugas… | 2-0 |
| Nov 08 | Hegelma… v Sūduva … | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Hegelma… v FK Zalg… | 3-1 |
| Oct 27 | Hegelma… v Dainava | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 08, 2025 | Hegelmann Lit… | 2-1 | Sūduva Marija… |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Sūduva Marija… | 2-1 | Hegelmann Lit… |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Hegelmann Lit… | 0-2 | Sūduva Marija… |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Sūduva Marija… | 4-0 | Hegelmann Lit… |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
67%
Market
49%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.