Paulista - A4 · Mar 14, 2026 18:00
São Caetano
PWR 35
São Caetano
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
EC Lemense
PWR 35
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: São Caetano to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (13%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
64%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
São Caetano
WWWDL
UP
EC Lemense
LWWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
São Caetanovs
0.64
EC LemenseGoal Probability
São Caetano
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
EC Lemense
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (15%)1-0 (15%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
São Caetano-2
Gap#3
EC Lemense
WR 60% 17 pts
WR 75% 19 pts
São Caetano
14.0%
| Mar 07 | São Cae… v Taquari… | 1-2 |
| Mar 04 | São Cae… v Comerci… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | São Cae… v AEA | 1-3 |
| Feb 25 | São Cae… v ECUS | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | São Cae… v Peneden… | 0-2 |
| Feb 14 | São Cae… v Joseense | 0-0 |
| Feb 11 | São Cae… v Naciona… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | São Cae… v Jabaqua… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | São Cae… v Inter d… | 2-0 |
| Aug 30 | São Cae… v Grêmio … | 2-0 |
EC Lemense
16.0%
| Mar 07 | EC Leme… v Colorad… | 1-2 |
| Mar 04 | EC Leme… v Peneden… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | EC Leme… v Comerci… | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | EC Leme… v Naciona… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | EC Leme… v Taquari… | 4-1 |
| Feb 14 | EC Leme… v Inter d… | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | EC Leme… v AEA | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | EC Leme… v Barretos | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | EC Leme… v Tanabi | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | EC Leme… v Monte A… | 4-2 |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
São Caetano in strong form (3W in last 5)
EC Lemense in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.