Back Stats
Paulista - A4 · Mar 14, 2026 18:30
AEA
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Comercial
PWR 35
39% 26% 35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5 66%
66%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
AEA LLLLW
DOWN
Comercial WLLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
AEA
vs
1.11
Comercial
Goal Probability
AEA
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Comercial
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (17%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (11%)1-0 (10%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 87% 13% OVER
1.5 61% 39% -
2.5 34% 66% UNDER
3.5 15% 85% UNDER
4.5 6% 94% UNDER
5.5 2% 98% UNDER
6.5 1% 100% UNDER
League Position
#15
AEA
-4
Gap
#11
Comercial
WR 25% 4 pts WR 25% 7 pts
AEA 4.0%
Mar 07 AEA v Barretos 2-1
Mar 04 AEA v Inter d… 4-0
Feb 28 AEA v São Cae… 1-3
Feb 25 AEA v Joseense 2-0
Feb 21 AEA v Colorad… 1-0
Feb 14 AEA v Taquari… 2-0
Feb 11 AEA v EC Leme… 0-2
Feb 07 AEA v Tanabi 0-0
Jan 31 AEA v Grêmio … 4-1
Aug 30 AEA v XV de P… 2-0
Comercial 8.0%
Mar 07 Comerci… v Naciona… 2-0
Mar 04 Comerci… v São Cae… 2-1
Feb 28 Comerci… v EC Leme… 0-1
Feb 25 Comerci… v Colorad… 1-2
Feb 21 Comerci… v Barretos 1-2
Feb 14 Comerci… v Grêmio … 1-0
Feb 11 Comerci… v Taquari… 0-1
Feb 03 Comerci… v Peneden… 1-2
Jan 31 Comerci… v ECUS 1-1
Oct 26 Comerci… v Corí-Sa… 2-1
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
AEA struggling (4L in last 5)
Comercial struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.