Paulista - A4 · Mar 18, 2026 23:00
Nacional AM
PWR 31
AEA
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Nacional AM
PWR 31
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (18%)0-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
68%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5
22%
Team Comparison
0Attack21
100Defense52
Goals/G
0.00.6
Conc/G
0.01.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
AEA
LLLLW
DOWN
Nacional AM
WLWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
AEAvs
0.67
Nacional AMGoal Probability
AEA
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Nacional AM
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (14%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (10%)0-0 (9%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 43% | 58% | - |
| 3.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
AEA+3
Gap#12
Nacional AM
WR 33% 23 pts
WR 18% 18 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEA | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 36 | 23 |
| Nacional AM | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 30 | 18 |
AEA
4.0%
| Mar 07 | AEA v Barretos | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | AEA v Inter d… | 4-0 |
| Feb 28 | AEA v São Cae… | 1-3 |
| Feb 25 | AEA v Joseense | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | AEA v Colorad… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | AEA v Taquari… | 2-0 |
| Feb 11 | AEA v EC Leme… | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | AEA v Tanabi | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | AEA v Grêmio … | 4-1 |
| Aug 30 | AEA v XV de P… | 2-0 |
Nacional AM
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Naciona… v Guanaba… | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Naciona… v Comerci… | 2-0 |
| Mar 07 | Naciona… v Petrópo… | 3-0 |
| Mar 06 | Naciona… v Amazonas | 3-0 |
| Mar 04 | Naciona… v Taquari… | 0-4 |
| Mar 01 | Naciona… v Toledo | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Naciona… v Princes… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Naciona… v Tanabi | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | Naciona… v EC Leme… | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Naciona… v Novoriz… | 4-0 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
70%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Nacional AM in strong form (3W in last 5)
AEA struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.