Primera C · Mar 14, 2026 21:00
Lujan
PWR 51
Lujan
PWR 51
1-0
predicted
Estrella Del Sur
PWR 49
PWR 49
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Lujan to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (11%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (6%)3-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
Yes 53%
Over 3.5
19%
Team Comparison
40Attack40
67Defense67
Goals/G
1.11.1
Conc/G
0.90.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lujan
DWWLD
STABLE
Estrella Del S…
LWDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Lujanvs
0.97
Estrella Del S…Goal Probability
Lujan
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Estrella De…
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 65% | 35% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 39% | 62% | - |
| 3.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Lujan+16
Gap#17
Estrella De…
WR 44% 136 pts
WR 40% 47 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lujan | 85 | 37 | 25 | 23 | 96 | 79 | 136 |
| Estrella Del … | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 34 | 28 | 47 |
Lujan
12.0%
| Feb 28 | Lujan v FĂ©nix | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Lujan v JJ Urqu… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Lujan v Sacachi… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Lujan v Sportiv… | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | Lujan v Sportiv… | 1-1 |
| Oct 13 | Lujan v Sportiv… | 0-0 |
| Oct 04 | Lujan v Canuelas | 3-1 |
| Oct 03 | Lujan v El Porv… | 1-0 |
| Sep 27 | Lujan v Canuelas | 0-2 |
| Sep 27 | Lujan v El Porv… | 1-1 |
Estrella Del S…
8.0%
| Mar 01 | Estrell… v Leandro… | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Estrell… v Defenso… | 2-0 |
| Oct 05 | Estrell… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Sep 30 | Estrell… v Deporti… | 1-0 |
| Sep 15 | Estrell… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Sep 07 | Estrell… v General… | 3-2 |
| Sep 02 | Estrell… v Deporti… | 1-2 |
| Aug 24 | Estrell… v Sportiv… | 1-3 |
| Aug 18 | Estrell… v Central… | 0-2 |
| Aug 10 | Estrell… v Victori… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jul 19, 2025 | Lujan | 0-0 | Estrella Del … |
| Apr 06, 2025 | Estrella Del … | 0-0 | Lujan |
Decision Breakdown
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.