Liga 3 · Mar 14, 2026 16:00
Amarante
PWR 35
União Santarém
PWR 35
PWR 35
0-1
predicted
Amarante
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Amarante to win (55% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (19%)1-0 (17%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
23%
Under 2.5
77%
77%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
União Santarém
LWLLW
STABLE
Amarante
WWWLD
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Liga 3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
União Santarémvs
0.77
AmaranteGoal Probability
União Santa…
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Amarante
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (16%)0-1 (15%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 2.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
União Santa…-2
Gap#2
Amarante
WR 33% 25 pts
WR 44% 29 pts
União Santarém
8.0%
| Mar 08 | União S… v CF Os B… | 0-2 |
| Mar 04 | União S… v Mafra | 3-1 |
| Feb 28 | União S… v Academi… | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | União S… v Guimara… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | União S… v Trofense | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | União S… v CF Os B… | 2-1 |
| Jan 16 | União S… v Mafra | 0-0 |
| Jan 11 | União S… v Atlétic… | 1-1 |
| Jan 04 | União S… v 1º Deze… | 1-0 |
| Dec 19 | União S… v Caldas | 0-2 |
Amarante
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Amarante v Trofense | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Amarante v CF Os B… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Amarante v Mafra | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Amarante v Varzim | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Amarante v Trofense | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Amarante v Paredes | 0-0 |
| Jan 11 | Amarante v SC Braga | 1-0 |
| Jan 04 | Amarante v São Joã… | 0-1 |
| Dec 21 | Amarante v Fafe | 3-2 |
| Dec 14 | Amarante v AD Marc… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 21, 2025 | Amarante | 2-0 | União Santarém |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Amarante in strong form (3W in last 5)
União Santarém struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.