Primera DivisiĂłn · Mar 14, 2026 21:00
Portuguesa FC
PWR 35
Caracas FC
PWR 35
Portuguesa FC
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Caracas FC
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Portuguesa FC Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (21%)1-0 (18%)3-0 (15%)0-0 (8%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No
No 21%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Portuguesa FC
LWDLW
STABLE
Caracas FC
LDDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskAway draws 67% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 92% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Portuguesa FCvs
0.26
Caracas FCGoal Probability
Portuguesa …
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Caracas FC
0
77%
1
20%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Portuguesa …+7
Gap#13
Caracas FC
WR 67% 8 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Portuguesa FC
10.0%
| Mar 08 | Portugu… v Metropo… | 3-2 |
| Feb 27 | Portugu… v Monagas… | 4-0 |
| Feb 22 | Portugu… v Trujill… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | Portugu… v Academi… | 0-3 |
| Feb 06 | Portugu… v Deporti… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Portugu… v Carabob… | 0-0 |
| Oct 05 | Portugu… v Puerto … | 0-1 |
| Sep 28 | Portugu… v Metropo… | 5-1 |
| Sep 20 | Portugu… v Estudia… | 2-0 |
| Sep 14 | Portugu… v Deporti… | 2-0 |
Caracas FC
4.0%
| Mar 07 | Caracas… v Deporti… | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Caracas… v Metropo… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Caracas… v Carabob… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Caracas… v UCV | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Caracas… v Real Es… | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Caracas… v Puerto … | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Caracas… v Estudia… | 2-2 |
| Nov 09 | Caracas… v Carabob… | 2-0 |
| Nov 05 | Caracas… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Nov 01 | Caracas… v Metropo… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 16, 2025 | Caracas FC | 2-0 | Portuguesa FC |
| Mar 09, 2025 | Portuguesa FC | 0-2 | Caracas FC |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
74%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Caracas FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.