Primera DivisiĂłn · Mar 18, 2026 21:00
Estudiantes de Merida FC
PWR 35
Carabobo FC
PWR 35
Estudiantes de Merida FC
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Carabobo FC
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Estudiantes de Merida FC Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (21%)0-1 (19%)1-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
21%
Under 2.5
79%
79%
BTTS
No
No 28%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Estudiantes de…
LWWLL
STABLE
Carabobo FC
LDWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskAway draws 100% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 133% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Estudiantes de…vs
0.92
Carabobo FCGoal Probability
Estudiantes…
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Carabobo FC
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (22%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (16%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 2.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Estudiantes…-2
Gap#8
Carabobo FC
WR 0% 7 pts
WR 0% 8 pts
Estudiantes de…
8.0%
| Mar 06 | Estudia… v Real Es… | 0-1 |
| Feb 27 | Estudia… v Puerto … | 1-2 |
| Feb 23 | Estudia… v Academi… | 0-3 |
| Feb 13 | Estudia… v Rayo Zu… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Estudia… v Zamora | 3-2 |
| Feb 01 | Estudia… v Caracas… | 2-2 |
| Oct 05 | Estudia… v Yaracuy… | 0-2 |
| Sep 27 | Estudia… v Puerto … | 1-2 |
| Sep 20 | Estudia… v Portugu… | 2-0 |
| Sep 12 | Estudia… v Metropo… | 1-0 |
Carabobo FC
12.0%
| Mar 11 | Carabob… v Sportin… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Carabob… v Zamora | 0-0 |
| Mar 04 | Carabob… v Sportin… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Carabob… v Caracas… | 0-0 |
| Feb 24 | Carabob… v Huachip… | 1-2 |
| Feb 20 | Carabob… v Metropo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | Carabob… v Huachip… | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Carabob… v Monagas… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Carabob… v Trujill… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Carabob… v Portugu… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jul 05, 2025 | Carabobo FC | 2-1 | Estudiantes d… |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Estudiantes d… | 0-2 | Carabobo FC |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Estudiantes de Merida FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.