Liga Pro · Mar 14, 2026 19:00
Independiente del Valle
PWR 35
Aucas
PWR 35
Independiente del Valle
PWR 35
5-1
predicted
Aucas
PWR 35
65%
21%
14%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Independiente del Valle Win
Score
5-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)2-0 (19%)3-0 (12%)0-0 (10%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
61%
BTTS
No
No 26%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Independiente …
WWWWW
UP
Aucas
LDDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMPOSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Independiente …vs
0.36
AucasGoal Probability
Independien…
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Aucas
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (22%)2-0 (16%)0-0 (16%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 2.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Independien…+10
Gap#11
Aucas
WR 100% 9 pts
WR 0% 2 pts
Independiente …
20.0%
| Mar 07 | Indepen… v Mushuc … | 3-1 |
| Mar 03 | Indepen… v Manta | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Indepen… v Guayaqu… | 2-0 |
| Jan 13 | Indepen… v Bucaram… | 3-1 |
| Dec 21 | Indepen… v Barcelo… | 1-0 |
| Dec 18 | Indepen… v Atlétic… | 0-1 |
| Dec 14 | Indepen… v Univers… | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Indepen… v Atlétic… | 0-0 |
| Dec 10 | Indepen… v LDU Qui… | 0-0 |
| Dec 08 | Indepen… v Junior | 2-1 |
Aucas
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Aucas v Deporti… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Aucas v Guayaqu… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Aucas v Mushuc … | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Aucas v Barcelo… | 1-0 |
| Jan 27 | Aucas v Ĺ iauliai | 2-1 |
| Dec 20 | Aucas v Macará | 0-2 |
| Dec 13 | Aucas v DelfĂn … | 0-1 |
| Dec 07 | Aucas v El Naci… | 3-1 |
| Nov 30 | Aucas v Deporti… | 2-1 |
| Nov 23 | Aucas v Emelec | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jul 19, 2025 | Independiente… | 2-1 | Aucas |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Aucas | 1-2 | Independiente… |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
85%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Independiente del Valle in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.