Major League Soccer · Mar 14, 2026 17:00
Toronto FC
PWR 35
New York Red Bulls
PWR 35
Toronto FC
PWR 35
VS
New York Red Bulls
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Toronto FC Win
Score
?
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)3-0 (6%)2-0 (6%)3-2 (5%)2-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
73%
73%
Under 2.5
27%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 71%
Over 3.5
58%
58%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Toronto FC
WLLDW
STABLE
New York Red B…
LWWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Points within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.01
Toronto FCvs
1.39
New York Red B…Goal Probability
Toronto FC
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
New York Re…
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-1 (7%)1-2 (7%)3-1 (5%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 4.5 | 39% | 62% | - |
| 5.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Toronto FC-5
Gap#4
New York Re…
WR 0% 3 pts
WR 100% 6 pts
Toronto FC
10.0%
| Mar 08 | Toronto… v FC Cinc… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Toronto… v Vancouv… | 3-0 |
| Feb 22 | Toronto… v FC Dall… | 3-2 |
| Feb 08 | Toronto… v AIK Sto… | 2-2 |
| Oct 18 | Toronto… v Orlando… | 4-2 |
| Oct 09 | Toronto… v Los Ang… | 2-0 |
| Oct 05 | Toronto… v Chicago… | 2-2 |
| Sep 27 | Toronto… v Inter M… | 1-1 |
| Sep 20 | Toronto… v Columbu… | 1-1 |
| Sep 13 | Toronto… v New Eng… | 1-1 |
New York Red B…
16.0%
| Mar 08 | New Yor… v Montréa… | 0-3 |
| Feb 28 | New Yor… v New Eng… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | New Yor… v Orlando… | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | New Yor… v Atlanta… | 3-2 |
| Jan 31 | New Yor… v Hartfor… | 5-0 |
| Jan 21 | New Yor… v Sarasot… | 1-3 |
| Oct 18 | New Yor… v Columbu… | 3-1 |
| Oct 04 | New Yor… v FC Cinc… | 0-1 |
| Sep 27 | New Yor… v New Yor… | 2-3 |
| Sep 20 | New Yor… v Montréa… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jun 25, 2025 | Toronto FC | 1-1 | New York Red … |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
New York Red Bulls in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.