Major League Soccer · Mar 14, 2026 19:15

Atlanta United FC
PWR 35
2-0
predicted

Philadelphia Union
PWR 35
43% 25% 32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Atlanta United FC Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (25%)0-0 (22%)0-2 (14%)1-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
19%
Under 2.5 81%
81%
BTTS No
No 22%
Over 3.5
25%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Atlanta United… DLLLD
STABLE
Philadelphia U… LLLWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.39
Atlanta United…
vs
1.12
Philadelphia U…
Goal Probability
Atlanta Uni…
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Philadelphi…
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (14%)0-2 (13%)1-1 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-0 (8%)0-3 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 92% 8% OVER
1.5 72% 28% OVER
2.5 46% 54% -
3.5 25% 75% UNDER
4.5 11% 89% UNDER
5.5 4% 96% UNDER
6.5 2% 99% UNDER
League Position
#14
Atlanta Uni…
-2
Gap
#12
Philadelphi…
WR 0% 0 pts WR 0% 0 pts
Atlanta United… 4.0%
Mar 08 Atlanta… v Richmon… 1-1
Mar 08 Atlanta… v Real Sa… 2-3
Mar 01 Atlanta… v San Jos… 2-0
Feb 21 Atlanta… v FC Cinc… 2-0
Feb 14 Atlanta… v FC Dall… 0-0
Feb 11 Atlanta… v New Yor… 3-2
Feb 08 Atlanta… v Houston… 1-1
Jan 30 Atlanta… v Lexingt… 4-0
Oct 25 Atlanta… v Portlan… 2-2
Oct 18 Atlanta… v DC Unit… 1-1
Philadelphia U… 4.0%
Mar 10 Philade… v Club Am… 0-1
Mar 08 Philade… v San Jos… 0-1
Mar 01 Philade… v New Yor… 1-2
Feb 27 Philade… v Defence… 7-0
Feb 22 Philade… v DC Unit… 1-0
Feb 18 Philade… v Defence… 0-5
Jan 29 Philade… v Buducno… 0-0
Jan 20 Philade… v Sigma O… 0-1
Nov 24 Philade… v New Yor… 0-1
Nov 01 Philade… v Chicago… 0-3
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
40%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Atlanta United FC struggling (3L in last 5)
Philadelphia Union struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.