Serie A · Mar 11, 2026 00:30
Mirassol
PWR 35
Santos
PWR 35
Mirassol
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT
Santos
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Mirassol Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)0-1 (7%)
WRONG 2-2
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.42x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.0x
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS
No 48%
Over 3.5
39%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mirassol
LDLDD
STABLE
Santos
DLDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 67% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/8 draws (38%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 100% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (34.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Mirassolvs
0.92
SantosGoal Probability
Mirassol
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Santos
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (8%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (6%)3-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Mirassol+2
Gap#11
Santos
WR 33% 6 pts
WR 0% 5 pts
Mirassol
6.0%
| Feb 15 | Mirassol v Portugu… | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Mirassol v Cruzeiro | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | Mirassol v Capivar… | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Mirassol v Remo | 2-2 |
| Feb 02 | Mirassol v Novoriz… | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | Mirassol v Vasco D… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Mirassol v São Ber… | 0-4 |
| Jan 21 | Mirassol v RB Brag… | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | Mirassol v Palmeir… | 1-0 |
| Jan 14 | Mirassol v Primave… | 3-1 |
Santos
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Santos v Remo | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Santos v Athleti… | 2-1 |
| Mar 05 | Santos v Indepen… | 2-2 |
| Mar 02 | Santos v Athleti… | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Santos v Oratório | 1-3 |
| Feb 26 | Santos v Vasco D… | 2-1 |
| Feb 23 | Santos v Ypirang… | 2-3 |
| Feb 22 | Santos v Novoriz… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Santos v Figueir… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Santos v Águia d… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Nov 20, 2025 | Santos | 1-1 | Mirassol |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Mirassol | 3-0 | Santos |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Santos | 2-1 | Mirassol |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Santos | 3-2 | Mirassol |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Mirassol | 0-0 | Santos |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Mirassol | 2-2 | Santos |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Santos | 2-1 | Mirassol |
| Feb 17, 2022 | Mirassol | 3-2 | Santos |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
70%
Standings
63%
Market
53%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.