Serie A · Mar 11, 2026 22:00
Atletico-MG
PWR 35
Internacional
PWR 35
Atletico-MG
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Internacional
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Atletico-MG Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (8%)0-1 (7%)1-2 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.47x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.86x
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
42%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Atletico-MG
LDLDW
STABLE
Internacional
DLDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Atletico-MGvs
1.13
InternacionalGoal Probability
Atletico-MG
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Internacion…
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (7%)1-0 (7%)2-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 3.5 | 42% | 59% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Atletico-MG+1
Gap#18
Internacion…
WR 0% 2 pts
WR 0% 2 pts
Atletico-MG
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Atletic… v Cruzeiro | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Atletic… v América… | 0-0 |
| Feb 26 | Atletic… v Remo | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Atletic… v América… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Atletic… v Itabiri… | 2-7 |
| Feb 11 | Atletic… v Remo | 3-3 |
| Feb 07 | Atletic… v Athleti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Atletic… v RB Brag… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Atletic… v Pouso A… | 1-3 |
| Jan 28 | Atletic… v Palmeir… | 2-2 |
Internacional
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Interna… v Remo | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Interna… v Remo | 3-0 |
| Feb 25 | Interna… v Remo | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Interna… v Ypirang… | 4-0 |
| Feb 15 | Interna… v Ypirang… | 0-3 |
| Feb 13 | Interna… v Palmeir… | 1-3 |
| Feb 08 | Interna… v São Luiz | 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | Interna… v Flamengo | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Interna… v Caxias | 0-1 |
| Jan 28 | Interna… v Athleti… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 02, 2025 | Internacional | 0-0 | Atletico-MG |
| Jun 13, 2025 | Atletico-MG | 2-0 | Internacional |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Atletico-MG | 1-3 | Internacional |
| Jun 27, 2024 | Internacional | 1-2 | Atletico-MG |
| Oct 01, 2023 | Internacional | 0-2 | Atletico-MG |
| May 14, 2023 | Atletico-MG | 2-0 | Internacional |
| Jul 31, 2022 | Internacional | 3-0 | Atletico-MG |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Atletico-MG | 2-0 | Internacional |
| Oct 03, 2021 | Atletico-MG | 1-0 | Internacional |
| Jun 16, 2021 | Internacional | 0-1 | Atletico-MG |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
52%
Market
49%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.