Serie A · Mar 14, 2026 23:30

Botafogo
PWR 35
6-2
predicted

Flamengo
PWR 35
45% 25% 30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Botafogo Win
Score
6-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (27%)2-0 (20%)0-0 (18%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (6%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5 75%
75%
BTTS No
No 15%
Over 3.5
35%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Botafogo LWLDL
STABLE
Flamengo WDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Similar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Botafogo
vs
0.22
Flamengo
Goal Probability
Botafogo
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Flamengo
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 95% 5% OVER
1.5 80% 20% OVER
2.5 58% 43% -
3.5 35% 65% -
4.5 18% 82% UNDER
5.5 8% 92% UNDER
6.5 3% 97% UNDER
League Position
#16
Botafogo
-5
Gap
#11
Flamengo
WR 100% 3 pts WR 50% 5 pts
Botafogo 6.0%
Mar 11 Botafogo v Barcelo… 0-1
Mar 07 Botafogo v Serra B… 3-1
Mar 07 Botafogo v Bangu 3-1
Mar 04 Botafogo v Barcelo… 1-1
Mar 01 Botafogo v Serra B… 1-0
Feb 28 Botafogo v Boavista 0-0
Feb 26 Botafogo v Naciona… 2-0
Feb 22 Botafogo v Boavista 0-2
Feb 22 Botafogo v Serra B… 1-1
Feb 19 Botafogo v Treze 2-0
Flamengo 6.0%
Mar 12 Flamengo v Cruzeiro 2-0
Mar 08 Flamengo v Flumine… 0-0
Mar 03 Flamengo v Madurei… 0-8
Feb 27 Flamengo v Lanús 2-3
Feb 22 Flamengo v Madurei… 3-0
Feb 20 Flamengo v Lanús 1-0
Feb 15 Flamengo v Botafogo 1-2
Feb 11 Flamengo v Vitoria 1-2
Feb 08 Flamengo v Sampaio… 7-1
Feb 04 Flamengo v Interna… 1-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Feb 15, 2026 Botafogo 1-2 Flamengo
Oct 15, 2025 Botafogo 0-3 Flamengo
May 22, 2025 Flamengo 4-2 Botafogo
May 18, 2025 Flamengo 0-0 Botafogo
May 01, 2025 Botafogo 0-1 Flamengo
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Botafogo struggling (3L in last 5)
Flamengo struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.