Serie A · Mar 15, 2026 19:00
Santos
PWR 35
Corinthians
PWR 35
Santos
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Corinthians
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (27%)1-0 (20%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (8%)0-2 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
15%
Under 2.5
85%
85%
BTTS
No
No 23%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Santos
DDLDL
STABLE
Corinthians
LDWDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Santosvs
0.57
CorinthiansGoal Probability
Santos
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Corinthians
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (13%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 2.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Santos-9
Gap#4
Corinthians
WR 50% 5 pts
WR 50% 7 pts
Santos
6.0%
| Mar 11 | Santos v Mirassol | 2-2 |
| Mar 08 | Santos v Remo | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Santos v Athleti… | 2-1 |
| Mar 05 | Santos v Indepen… | 2-2 |
| Mar 02 | Santos v Athleti… | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Santos v Oratório | 1-3 |
| Feb 26 | Santos v Vasco D… | 2-1 |
| Feb 23 | Santos v Ypirang… | 2-3 |
| Feb 22 | Santos v Novoriz… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Santos v Figueir… | 0-0 |
Corinthians
8.0%
| Mar 12 | Corinth… v Coritiba | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Corinth… v Amazonas | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Corinth… v Princes… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Corinth… v Amazonas | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Corinth… v Novoriz… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Corinth… v São Pau… | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Corinth… v Cruzeiro | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Corinth… v Portugu… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Corinth… v JC | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Corinth… v Operári… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 22, 2026 | Santos | 1-1 | Corinthians |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Santos | 3-1 | Corinthians |
| Aug 06, 2025 | Santos | 0-3 | Corinthians |
| May 18, 2025 | Corinthians | 1-0 | Santos |
| Mar 09, 2025 | Corinthians | 2-1 | Santos |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Corinthians | 2-1 | Santos |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Corinthians | 0-2 | Santos |
| Feb 07, 2024 | Santos | 1-0 | Corinthians |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Corinthians | 1-1 | Santos |
| Jun 21, 2023 | Santos | 0-2 | Corinthians |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
32%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.