Serie A · Mar 19, 2026 00:30
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
Fluminense
PWR 35
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Fluminense
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Fluminense Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (32%)1-0 (20%)0-1 (16%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (6%)0-2 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
11%
Under 2.5
89%
89%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Vasco DA Gama
DDLLL
STABLE
Fluminense
DLDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.2%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Vasco DA Gamavs
0.50
FluminenseGoal Probability
Vasco DA Ga…
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Fluminense
0
61%
1
30%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (19%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 2.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#20
Vasco DA Ga…-15
Gap#5
Fluminense
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 7 pts
Vasco DA Gama
4.0%
| Mar 05 | Vasco D… v São Fra… | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Vasco D… v Flumine… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Vasco D… v Galvez | 5-2 |
| Feb 26 | Vasco D… v Santos | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Vasco D… v Flumine… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Vasco D… v Volta R… | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Vasco D… v Bahia | 0-1 |
| Feb 10 | Vasco D… v Indepen… | 1-3 |
| Feb 08 | Vasco D… v Botafogo | 2-0 |
| Feb 05 | Vasco D… v Chapeco… | 1-1 |
Fluminense
8.0%
| Mar 08 | Flumine… v Flamengo | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Flumine… v Sousa | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Flumine… v Ferrovi… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Flumine… v Vasco D… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Flumine… v Santo A… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Flumine… v Sousa | 0-1 |
| Feb 26 | Flumine… v Palmeir… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Flumine… v São Ber… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Flumine… v Grêmio … | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Flumine… v Vasco D… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 01, 2026 | Fluminense | 1-1 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama | 0-1 | Fluminense |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Fluminense | 1-0 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama | 2-1 | Fluminense |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama | 2-0 | Fluminense |
| May 24, 2025 | Fluminense | 2-1 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Feb 06, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama | 1-2 | Fluminense |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama | 2-0 | Fluminense |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Fluminense | 2-1 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Fluminense | 0-0 | Vasco DA Gama |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Vasco DA Gama struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.