Queensland NPL · Mar 14, 2026 08:00
Brisbane Roar
PWR 60
Gold Coast Knights
PWR 35
Brisbane Roar
PWR 60
1-1
predicted
Gold Coast Knights
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.1/g, Away concedes 1.6/g, expected 3.4 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (8%)1-3 (7%)2-2 (6%)1-1 (6%)2-3 (6%)0-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.52x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.95x
Over 2.5
74%
74%
Under 2.5
26%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 74%
Over 3.5
67%
67%
Team Comparison
72Attack0
49Defense100
Goals/G
2.10.0
Conc/G
1.50.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Brisbane Roar
WLWDW
STABLE
Gold Coast Kni…
WWWDL
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Brisbane Roarvs
2.72
Gold Coast Kni…Goal Probability
Brisbane Ro…
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Gold Coast …
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)3-2 (6%)1-2 (6%)3-1 (6%)1-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 5.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Brisbane Ro…-3
Gap#1
Gold Coast …
WR 58% 56 pts
WR 45% 85 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Roar | 31 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 64 | 45 | 56 |
| Gold Coast Kn… | 56 | 25 | 10 | 21 | 92 | 92 | 85 |
Brisbane Roar
14.0%
| Mar 07 | Brisban… v Robina … | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Brisban… v Eastern… | 0-4 |
| Feb 28 | Brisban… v Capalaba | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Brisban… v Perth G… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Brisban… v Moreton… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Brisban… v Brisban… | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | Brisban… v Sydney | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Brisban… v North S… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Brisban… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Brisban… v Central… | 1-2 |
Gold Coast Kni…
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Gold Co… v Brisban… | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | Gold Co… v Magic U… | 0-7 |
| Feb 28 | Gold Co… v Rocheda… | 3-4 |
| Feb 27 | Gold Co… v Lions | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Gold Co… v Magic U… | 3-1 |
| Feb 20 | Gold Co… v Moreton… | 4-1 |
| Jan 25 | Gold Co… v Brisban… | 5-2 |
| Jan 17 | Gold Co… v Brisban… | 5-0 |
| Aug 23 | Gold Co… v SC Wand… | 2-1 |
| Aug 23 | Gold Co… v Moreton… | 0-2 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
50%
Market
51%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Brisbane Roar in strong form (3W in last 5)
Gold Coast Knights in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.