Queensland Premier League · Mar 15, 2026 07:00
Brisbane Roar
PWR 59
Caboolture
PWR 35
Brisbane Roar
PWR 59
1-0
predicted
Caboolture
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 1.9/g, Away concedes 1.8/g, expected 3.4 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Brisbane Roar to win (79% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
79%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (15%)0-2 (13%)1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-0 (9%)0-3 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
55%
Team Comparison
65Attack0
63Defense100
Goals/G
1.90.0
Conc/G
1.10.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Brisbane Roar
WLWDW
STABLE
Caboolture
DWWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Brisbane Roarvs
1.74
CabooltureGoal Probability
Brisbane Ro…
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Caboolture
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 75% | 26% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 55% | 46% | - |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Brisbane Ro…-2
Gap#1
Caboolture
WR 47% 25 pts
WR 59% 32 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Roar | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 16 | 25 |
| Caboolture | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 32 |
Brisbane Roar
14.0%
| Mar 07 | Brisban… v Robina … | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Brisban… v Eastern… | 0-4 |
| Feb 28 | Brisban… v Capalaba | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Brisban… v Perth G… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Brisban… v Moreton… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Brisban… v Brisban… | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | Brisban… v Sydney | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Brisban… v North S… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Brisban… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Brisban… v Central… | 1-2 |
Caboolture
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Caboolt… v Ipswich | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Caboolt… v Robina … | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Caboolt… v Capalaba | 1-3 |
| Aug 24 | Caboolt… v Brisban… | 0-3 |
| Aug 16 | Caboolt… v Magic U… | 2-1 |
| Aug 09 | Caboolt… v Redland… | 2-7 |
| Jul 18 | Caboolt… v Holland… | 1-3 |
| Jul 04 | Caboolt… v Capalaba | 4-1 |
| Jun 28 | Caboolt… v Capalaba | 1-2 |
| Jun 14 | Caboolt… v Ipswich | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 24, 2025 | Caboolture | 0-3 | Brisbane Roar |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Brisbane Roar in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.