Queensland Premier League · Mar 15, 2026 08:00
Holland Park Hawks
PWR 35
St George Willawong
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Holland Park Hawks
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-2 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-1 (9%)1-1 (9%)0-3 (7%)1-3 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
53%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
St George Will…
WLLDD
STABLE
Holland Park H…
LDWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
St George Will…vs
2.17
Holland Park H…Goal Probability
St George W…
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Holland Par…
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
11%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (5%)1-3 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 4.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
St George W…-3
Gap#4
Holland Par…
WR 0% 3 pts
WR 0% 4 pts
St George Will…
8.0%
| Mar 06 | St Geor… v Redland… | 0-2 |
| Feb 27 | St Geor… v Ipswich | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | St Geor… v Broadbe… | 1-5 |
| Aug 23 | St Geor… v Peninsu… | 1-1 |
| Aug 15 | St Geor… v Brisban… | 0-0 |
| Aug 10 | St Geor… v SC Wand… | 3-2 |
| Aug 02 | St Geor… v Moreton… | 2-5 |
| Jul 26 | St Geor… v Peninsu… | 5-0 |
| Jun 23 | St Geor… v Broadbe… | 2-2 |
| May 26 | St Geor… v Ipswich | 2-0 |
Holland Park H…
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Holland… v Broadbe… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Holland… v SC Wand… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Holland… v Logan L… | 2-0 |
| Jan 10 | Holland… v Brisban… | 0-3 |
| Aug 16 | Holland… v Broadbe… | 2-1 |
| Aug 02 | Holland… v Capalaba | 2-3 |
| Jul 29 | Holland… v Broadbe… | 1-3 |
| Jul 18 | Holland… v Caboolt… | 1-3 |
| Jul 04 | Holland… v Logan L… | 0-1 |
| May 27 | Holland… v Logan L… | 1-2 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.