Back Stats
Super League · Mar 13, 2026 12:00
Naivas
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Nairobi City Stars
PWR 35
49% 24% 27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-1 (11%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS
No 47%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Naivas LWWDD
STABLE
Nairobi City S… DWLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 30% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 40% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 70% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Naivas
vs
1.10
Nairobi City S…
Goal Probability
Naivas
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Nairobi Cit…
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (20%)0-1 (16%)1-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 80% 20% OVER
1.5 48% 52% -
2.5 22% 78% UNDER
3.5 8% 92% UNDER
4.5 3% 98% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#12
Naivas
-2
Gap
#10
Nairobi Cit…
WR 40% 28 pts WR 30% 29 pts
Naivas 12.0%
Mar 07 Naivas v MOFA 1-0
Feb 28 Naivas v Luanda … 3-0
Feb 22 Naivas v Soy Uni… 0-1
Feb 14 Naivas v Equity … 1-1
Jan 31 Naivas v Nairobi… 0-0
Jan 24 Naivas v Kibera … 1-1
Jan 17 Naivas v Migori … 2-4
Jan 11 Naivas v 3K 1-2
Dec 20 Naivas v Talanta 1-0
Dec 17 Naivas v Gucha S… 0-1
Nairobi City S… 10.0%
Mar 01 Nairobi… v Nzoia S… 0-0
Feb 21 Nairobi… v Fortune… 3-2
Feb 15 Nairobi… v Migori … 1-0
Jan 31 Nairobi… v Naivas 0-0
Jan 25 Nairobi… v 3K 1-1
Jan 18 Nairobi… v Kisumu … 1-1
Jan 10 Nairobi… v Gucha S… 2-2
Dec 21 Nairobi… v Soy Uni… 1-1
Dec 17 Nairobi… v Vihiga … 0-3
Dec 12 Nairobi… v Equity … 2-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Jan 31, 2026 Nairobi City … 0-0 Naivas
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.