Super League · Mar 14, 2026 12:00

Mathare United
PWR 44

Kisumu All Stars
PWR 35

Mathare United
PWR 44
1-0
predicted

Kisumu All Stars
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Mathare United to win (83% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
83%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)3-2 (3%)1-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes 57%
Over 3.5
25%
Team Comparison
42Attack0
54Defense100
Goals/G
1.20.0
Conc/G
1.30.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mathare United
LWLLD
STABLE
Kisumu All Sta…
DLLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityH2H: 5/9 draws (56%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Mathare Unitedvs
0.86
Kisumu All Sta…Goal Probability
Mathare Uni…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Kisumu All …
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)3-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Mathare Uni…-4
Gap#4
Kisumu All …
WR 33% 62 pts
WR 27% 79 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathare United | 48 | 16 | 14 | 18 | 58 | 63 | 62 |
| Kisumu All St… | 66 | 18 | 25 | 23 | 62 | 77 | 79 |
Mathare United
6.0%
| Feb 28 | Mathare… v Gor Mah… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Mathare… v Gucha S… | 3-1 |
| Feb 25 | Mathare… v Shabana | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Mathare… v Kabati … | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Mathare… v Karioba… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Mathare… v Darajan… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | Mathare… v Tusker | 3-1 |
| Feb 01 | Mathare… v Kisumu … | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Mathare… v KCB | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Mathare… v Soy Uni… | 1-0 |
Kisumu All Sta…
4.0%
| Mar 08 | Kisumu … v Nzoia S… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Kisumu … v Talanta | 5-1 |
| Feb 21 | Kisumu … v 3K | 0-2 |
| Feb 15 | Kisumu … v Mombasa… | 4-0 |
| Feb 01 | Kisumu … v Mathare… | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Kisumu … v MCF | 2-1 |
| Jan 18 | Kisumu … v Nairobi… | 1-1 |
| Jan 10 | Kisumu … v Fortune… | 2-1 |
| Dec 21 | Kisumu … v Luanda … | 3-1 |
| Dec 17 | Kisumu … v MOFA | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Feb 01, 2026 | Kisumu All St… | 0-0 | Mathare United |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Mathare United | 3-1 | Kisumu All St… |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Mathare United | 1-1 | Kisumu All St… |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Kisumu All St… | 0-0 | Mathare United |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Kisumu All St… | 2-1 | Mathare United |
| Jun 07, 2023 | Mathare United | 2-0 | Kisumu All St… |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Kisumu All St… | 5-0 | Mathare United |
| Jun 05, 2022 | Mathare United | 1-1 | Kisumu All St… |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Kisumu All St… | 0-0 | Mathare United |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Mathare United struggling (3L in last 5)
Kisumu All Stars struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.