Thai League 1 · Mar 14, 2026 11:00
Buriram United
PWR 35
Chonburi FC
PWR 35
Buriram United
PWR 35
5-1
predicted
Chonburi FC
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Buriram United Win
Score
5-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (14%)2-0 (13%)1-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (6%)1-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
No
No 35%
Over 3.5
38%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Buriram United
DWDWW
STABLE
Chonburi FC
WLWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy73%
FORM_MOMENTUMPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.36
Buriram Unitedvs
0.45
Chonburi FCGoal Probability
Buriram Uni…
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Chonburi FC
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 61% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Buriram Uni…+8
Gap#9
Chonburi FC
WR 82% 56 pts
WR 30% 28 pts
Buriram United
16.0%
| Mar 10 | Buriram… v Melbour… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Buriram… v Nakhon … | 0-3 |
| Mar 03 | Buriram… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Buriram… v Khon Ka… | 6-0 |
| Feb 21 | Buriram… v Sukhoth… | 6-0 |
| Feb 17 | Buriram… v Shangha… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Buriram… v Bangkok… | 1-3 |
| Feb 10 | Buriram… v Chengdu… | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Buriram… v Dynamic… | 6-0 |
| Feb 01 | Buriram… v Bangkok… | 0-2 |
Chonburi FC
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Chonbur… v Bangkok… | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Chonbur… v Ayuttha… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Chonbur… v Chiangr… | 1-3 |
| Feb 13 | Chonbur… v Uthai T… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Chonbur… v Port FC | 3-2 |
| Jan 28 | Chonbur… v Lamphun… | 0-3 |
| Jan 24 | Chonbur… v Bangkok… | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Chonbur… v Lamphun… | 1-0 |
| Jan 11 | Chonbur… v Ratchab… | 1-0 |
| Dec 27 | Chonbur… v Nong Bu… | 1-5 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 09, 2025 | Chonburi FC | 4-2 | Buriram United |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Chonburi FC | 1-1 | Buriram United |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
76%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Buriram United in strong form (3W in last 5)
Chonburi FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.