Premier League · Mar 14, 2026 12:00

Welwalo Adigrat Uni
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Dire Dawa Kenema
PWR 35
55% 23% 22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Welwalo Adigrat Uni Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)1-0 (11%)0-0 (10%)1-2 (8%)0-2 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS
No 47%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Welwalo Adigra… DWWDD
STABLE
Dire Dawa Kene… LLWDL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk38%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 36% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/4 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesAway draws 55% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 91% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (37.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Welwalo Adigra…
vs
1.25
Dire Dawa Kene…
Goal Probability
Welwalo Adi…
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Dire Dawa K…
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (22%)0-0 (18%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 82% 18% OVER
1.5 52% 48% -
2.5 25% 75% UNDER
3.5 10% 90% UNDER
4.5 3% 97% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#18
Welwalo Adi…
-7
Gap
#11
Dire Dawa K…
WR 18% 25 pts WR 27% 28 pts
Welwalo Adigra… 14.0%
Mar 08 Welwalo… v Mekelak… 0-0
Mar 03 Welwalo… v Suhul S… 1-0
Feb 27 Welwalo… v Fasil K… 1-2
Feb 22 Welwalo… v Sidama … 0-0
Feb 05 Welwalo… v Kedus G… 1-1
Feb 01 Welwalo… v Arba Mi… 1-2
Jan 25 Welwalo… v Hadiya … 1-2
Jan 21 Welwalo… v Sheger … 1-1
Jan 15 Welwalo… v Ethiopi… 0-0
Jan 08 Welwalo… v Dire Da… 1-1
Dire Dawa Kene… 6.0%
Mar 10 Dire Da… v Arba Mi… 0-2
Mar 09 Dire Da… v Ethiopi… 1-2
Mar 05 Dire Da… v Mekelle… 1-2
Mar 05 Dire Da… v Hadiya … 1-1
Feb 26 Dire Da… v Welayta… 0-2
Feb 26 Dire Da… v Sheger … 3-3
Feb 22 Dire Da… v Awassa … 1-1
Feb 21 Dire Da… v Ethiopi… 0-1
Feb 06 Dire Da… v Arba Mi… 1-1
Feb 04 Dire Da… v Awassa … 0-2
Head-to-Head (4)
Jan 08, 2026 Welwalo Adigr… 1-1 Dire Dawa Ken…
Nov 08, 2025 Dire Dawa Ken… 2-1 Welwalo Adigr…
Apr 30, 2025 Dire Dawa Ken… 1-1 Welwalo Adigr…
Jan 05, 2025 Welwalo Adigr… 0-3 Dire Dawa Ken…
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
36%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Dire Dawa Kenema struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.