Premier League · Mar 15, 2026 13:00
Mebrat Hayl
PWR 35
Negelle Arsi
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Mebrat Hayl
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Negelle Arsi Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (22%)0-0 (22%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
20%
Under 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
No
No 26%
Over 3.5
1%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Negelle Arsi
DDLDW
STABLE
Mebrat Hayl
WWLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesAway draws 45% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 82% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (35.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Negelle Arsivs
0.52
Mebrat HaylGoal Probability
Negelle Arsi
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Mebrat Hayl
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (40%)1-0 (21%)0-1 (16%)1-1 (8%)2-0 (5%)0-2 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 1.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 7% | 94% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Negelle Arsi+2
Gap#5
Mebrat Hayl
WR 46% 38 pts
WR 18% 34 pts
Negelle Arsi
10.0%
| Mar 09 | Negelle… v Bahardar | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | Negelle… v Kedus G… | 0-0 |
| Feb 26 | Negelle… v Ethiopi… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Negelle… v Arba Mi… | 1-1 |
| Feb 05 | Negelle… v Mekelle… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Negelle… v Ethiopi… | 0-2 |
| Jan 27 | Negelle… v Sidama … | 1-0 |
| Jan 21 | Negelle… v Awassa … | 2-0 |
| Jan 16 | Negelle… v Welayta… | 1-1 |
| Jan 08 | Negelle… v Suhul S… | 0-1 |
Mebrat Hayl
12.0%
| Mar 08 | Mebrat … v Ethiopi… | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Mebrat … v Arba Mi… | 1-4 |
| Feb 27 | Mebrat … v Hadiya … | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Mebrat … v Sheger … | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | Mebrat … v Sidama … | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Mebrat … v Awassa … | 2-0 |
| Jan 26 | Mebrat … v Welayta… | 0-0 |
| Jan 20 | Mebrat … v Mekelle… | 2-1 |
| Jan 16 | Mebrat … v Ethiopi… | 2-1 |
| Jan 09 | Mebrat … v Dire Da… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 07, 2025 | Mebrat Hayl | 0-0 | Negelle Arsi |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
66%
Standings
61%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.