First League · Mar 19, 2026 16:00

Spartak Varna
PWR 35

Ludogorets Razgrad
PWR 35

Spartak Varna
PWR 35
2-3
predicted

Ludogorets Razgrad
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Ludogorets Razgrad Win
Score
2-3
Confidence
65%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (5%)1-0 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
66%
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 68%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Spartak Varna
LLWDL
DOWN
Ludogorets Raz…
WWDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy77%
AWAY_FORM_DOMINANTAWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.3%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Spartak Varnavs
1.81
Ludogorets Raz…Goal Probability
Spartak Var…
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Ludogorets …
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (20%)0-2 (15%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)1-2 (8%)0-3 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Spartak Var…-11
Gap#2
Ludogorets …
WR 25% 23 pts
WR 54% 50 pts
Spartak Varna
6.0%
| Mar 07 | Spartak… v Chernom… | 1-2 |
| Mar 06 | Spartak… v CSKA So… | 4-0 |
| Mar 03 | Spartak… v Montana | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Spartak… v Pirin B… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Spartak… v Arda Ka… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Spartak… v Lokomot… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Spartak… v Dunav R… | 4-0 |
| Feb 13 | Spartak… v Lokomot… | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | Spartak… v Cherno … | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Spartak… v Sevlievo | 0-0 |
Ludogorets Raz…
10.0%
| Mar 09 | Ludogor… v Montana | 0-3 |
| Mar 05 | Ludogor… v CSKA So… | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Ludogor… v Lokomot… | 1-1 |
| Feb 26 | Ludogor… v Ferencv… | 2-0 |
| Feb 23 | Ludogor… v Botev P… | 2-1 |
| Feb 19 | Ludogor… v Ferencv… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Ludogor… v Beroe | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | Ludogor… v CSKA So… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Ludogor… v Lokomot… | 1-3 |
| Feb 03 | Ludogor… v CSKA So… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 18, 2025 | Ludogorets Ra… | 1-1 | Spartak Varna |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Spartak Varna struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.