Premier League · Mar 08, 2026 11:00
Zorya Luhansk
PWR 35
Zorya Luhansk
PWR 35
4 - 0
FT
SK Poltava
PWR 35
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 73% home + 17% draw = 90% combined
95%
accuracy
1.16x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Zorya Luhansk Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (12%)2-0 (10%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-0 (6%)1-1 (3%)
CORRECT 4-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
91%
Home/Draw
1.16x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.91x
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
No 43%
Over 3.5
63%
63%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Zorya Luhansk
LDWDL
STABLE
SK Poltava
LLLLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 40% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 60% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.55
Zorya Luhanskvs
0.59
SK PoltavaGoal Probability
Zorya Luhan…
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
SK Poltava
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)4-0 (7%)4-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 63% | 38% | - |
| 4.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 5.5 | 27% | 74% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 15% | 86% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Zorya Luhan…+8
Gap#16
SK Poltava
WR 40% 27 pts
WR 10% 9 pts
Zorya Luhansk
8.0%
| Mar 01 | Zorya L… v Hirnyk | 3-1 |
| Feb 23 | Zorya L… v Kudrivka | 2-2 |
| Jan 29 | Zorya L… v Rapid W… | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Zorya L… v Lokomot… | 3-3 |
| Dec 13 | Zorya L… v LNZ Che… | 2-0 |
| Dec 05 | Zorya L… v Karpaty | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Zorya L… v Polessya | 2-0 |
| Nov 24 | Zorya L… v Oleksan… | 2-2 |
| Nov 08 | Zorya L… v Metalis… | 1-3 |
| Nov 02 | Zorya L… v Rukh Vy… | 1-0 |
SK Poltava
4.0%
| Mar 02 | SK Polt… v Kudrivka | 0-2 |
| Feb 20 | SK Polt… v Veres R… | 3-2 |
| Dec 14 | SK Polt… v Rukh Vy… | 1-2 |
| Dec 08 | SK Polt… v Epitsen… | 0-3 |
| Dec 01 | SK Polt… v Dynamo … | 1-2 |
| Nov 29 | SK Polt… v Chornom… | 3-0 |
| Nov 22 | SK Polt… v UCSA | 1-1 |
| Nov 21 | SK Polt… v LNZ Che… | 0-2 |
| Nov 16 | SK Polt… v Yarud M… | 2-0 |
| Nov 09 | SK Polt… v Shakhta… | 7-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 29, 2025 | SK Poltava | 1-4 | Zorya Luhansk |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
71%
Market
94%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
SK Poltava struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.